“Remember that most of the “hooked” applicants like recruited athletes, legacy, development cases, URM, faculty kids, and special talent students will be applying ED so for the “unhooked” applicant the ED acceptance rates are far lower.”
@socaldad2002 – Duke doesn’t agree with you. Since they are so so so very clear about what they do, what basis is there to believe that they don’t do exactly what they clearly say they do?
Not every top 20 ED school operates like Duke does. An example for that might be Brown. But plenty (like Vandy, NW and Penn) absolutely do. So applying ED itself is, in fact, a hook. With respect to Duke, read for yourself from Duke’s website:
“Myth: The reason schools have higher acceptance rates for Early Decision is because athletes and children of alumni apply then.
Fact: Some schools do encourage athletes and alumni children to apply during Early Decision, but our philosophy is to encourage all students who have Duke as a clear first choice to apply Early Decision and gain that benefit.”
"Is there an advantage to applying through the Early Decision program? There is an advantage in the admissions process to applying Early Decision. "
“About 10% of Duke applicants choose to apply Early Decision, and there is an advantage in the admissions process to making that choice. In 2015-2016, we admitted 23.5% of students who applied Early Decision and 8.7% of students who applied Regular Decision.”
“Myth: The Early Decision process is more competitive than Regular Decision.
Fact: While some schools make this claim, at Duke we appreciate that we are your unquestioned first choice. There’s an advantage in applying early to Duke—last year we admitted 23.5% of our Early Decision candidates and only 8.7% of our Regular Decision candidates. There are students for whom applying Early Decision can make all the difference.”
“Myth: I’m better off waiting until I get my first semester grades so that my application looks stronger.
Fact: Some students do benefit from waiting for that first set of grades, but for most applicants there’s more of an advantage in letting us know Duke is your top choice by applying Early Decision. Even if your application is deferred to our Regular Decision pool, the fact that you applied Early Decision remains part of your application.”