@Batwing99 Actually, Harvard published the 2020 yield rates on May 11th of last year. So they still have time.
Dartmouth’s increased to 61% from 53% last year. Other than that, I don’t think any other Ivy has posted yield data. We’ll know Harvard’s early this week, I think, since someone called and said that Harvard would know how many people to take off the waitlist this week.
I know Dartmouth has because they had a particularly high yield this year.
Dartmouth did not take anyone off its waitlist this year.
Do you guys think this is the week when people will start getting admission offers?
Probably end of this week or the week after
What did you guys do to strengthen your candidacy (if anything)?
I just submitted a second LOCI (I had sent an initial one after being deferred) along with an updated resume.
Do you guys think they’ll start making calls tomorrow?
My thoughts…
Class of 2020:
2037 Admitted Regular + Early
2106 Admitted Total
75 Admitted Off Waitlist
6 Rescinded or Withdrew (since 2106 – 75 != 2037)(personal opinion)
1667 Matriculates
79.155% Total Yield (including waitlist)(1667/2106)
78.385% Yield Base (not including waitlist)((1667-75)/(2037-6))
Class of 2021: Projections
2056 Admitted Regular + Early
1666.333 Target Class Size (average of past 3 years)
12 Rescinded or Withdrew (at least)(based on confirmed anecdotal evidence)
2044 Admitted Adjusted
Scenario 1: Yield Base Continues
1602 Non-waitlist Matriculates (based on 2020 yield base excluding waitlist)(2044 * 0.78385)
64 Admitted Off Waitlist (1666.333 – 1602.19)
Scenario 2: Yield Declines ~1% Consistent With Recent Trend
1582 Non-waitlist Matriculates (based on 2020 yield base excluding waitlist – 1%)(2044 * 0.77385)
85 Admitted Off Waitlist (1666.333 – 1581.750)
Sources:
http://harvardmagazine.com/2016/04/harvard-accepts-record-low-5-2-percent-of-applicants-to-class-of-2020
https://college.harvard.edu/admissions/admissions-statistics
http://www.thecrimson.com/article/2017/3/31/harvard-regular-admissions-2017/
http://features.thecrimson.com/2015/freshman-survey/makeup-narrative/
http://www.thecrimson.com/article/2014/9/2/freshman-survey-part-i/
https://blog.■■■■■■■■■■■/blog-0/bid/182834/Class-of-2018-Yield-Rates
https://blog.■■■■■■■■■■■/blog-0/class-of-2019-yield-rates
https://blog.■■■■■■■■■■■/blog-0/class-of-2020-yield-rates
Personally, I think a realistic bet for this year is anywhere between 50-100 matriculating off the waitlist. Due to summer melt and other factors it would make sense that around 53-105 to get an offer to attend (assuming 95% take them up on the offer). Also, there’s always Z-list, but that’s way more confusing and underpublicized.
Wow, thanks for all of your calculations!! Let’s hope this is a year where more than 200 students make it off (this has happened in the past!).
Although they do need to have space for everyone, I do believe Fitzsimmons when he says, “The ultimate number of students admitted will depend on the quality of the applicant pool”. As far as the waitlist goes, I believe that if with your application and updates, if the committee really likes you, they’ll take you.
@eternalbluesky committed to Brown too! I really liked the school, so even if I did get off the waitlist for Harvard I think I would have a hard time deciding.
@Gh0st3737 I think there should be an extra 12 spots on the waitlist this year. 12 SCEA kids got rescinded because they posted offensive memes in the FB group.
@cyberzombies012 Gh0st3737 accounted for it in his calculations.
Just saw it. My b
12 SCEA kids’ offers were rescinded? Holy cow.
first waitlist admit wave last year was wednesday May 11
cyberzombies012 how do you know about the students who posted memes that got them kicked off the list?
Got into Colby but would absolutely go to Harvard if I got off their wait list. Quite a few kids from my HS got into Harvard though, so I’m not optimistic.
Same, I would have no regrets going to Harvard if I got off their waitlist.