<p>I don’t know how common it is, but I can tell you that too often, the time in picking colleges is spent on cherry picking right from the top, the way some kids and familes do it. They just love to loll the names of the top schools of their tongues and ponder whether Brown or Dartmouth should get the ED app, and whether they should include Duke, or a lottery ticket to HPY. These are upper middle class and well to do families, whose kids are good students, close to 4.0s in great school, difficult courses, and high test scores. But not the tippy top, and even they are not shoo ins for these schools. Some of these kids are really skirting the edge of getting into ANY highly selective school, banking on the fact that they are attending a rigorous high school, taking tough courses, getting great recs and writing wonderful essays, and thinking that their ECs are something special, when really, on a scale of 1-5, in that applicant pool they are solid 3s. Average for the pool. </p>
<p>For such students, to just throw in a school as a safety just to do so, is very dangerous in terms of dashed expectations. The fact of the matter is that a match is really a 49-75% admit, and it is possible when the list only has a couple of them on there, with the rest reaches, to get shut out, and that safety that was so just added with no thought or research is where the student may end up getting is only acceptance. The same goes if you throw in 3 safeties just to do so with no thought of going there.</p>
<p>The fact of the matter is that no time really was needed to pick those reach schools, since everyone would have been just as thrilled if the kid got into any of them. More care needed to pick the matches that would truly be a match and serve the place of a safety instead of being reaches. The safeties were where the work was needed.</p>
<p>My kids always worked from bottom up because we always looked for low cost schools that were sure to accept them and would still meet their needs and wants. My son this year pored over the guaranteed scholarship lists and picked a few schools as well as checking out the SUNYs where he could get free tuition. If he did not get into any of his reach and match schools, he knows his safeties well, probably better than some of the more selective schools because we checked them out more carefully. As it’s turned out, he already got acceptances EA from three match schools and half cost awards for two of them, so he’s home free. We’ll see how it will go with his reaches, but the sting of rejection from them will be mitagated due to what he already has in hand. His friends, on the other hand, are rolling their penciis between their palms, waiting for that lottery ticket win, with little idea where to turn next if it doesn’t work out, and frankly, the odds are against many of them. But they had not gotten the mind set to safeties yet, and just have some sort of scrawled on their lists to apply to them if the ED/EA season does not go as planned. </p>
<p>I see too often, kids getting stuck on certain specialty majors, often just available at few schools, often OOS publics at a premium cost, and the onus becomes on getting in there. It’s not always a good idea to focus on that. The kid is 17, 18 years old. The likelihood of changing his mind is high. I’ve seen over and over again, parents who break their necks finding some obscure program that has caught the kid’s attention and he changes it within a quarter, and he’s in some school that was picked for just that. In one case, GATech was one of the few schools with the major, but the family got some consideration for the OOS tuiton for that reason, but once the major was changed, the price was jacked back up. Better to look for more general programs that can lead to a specialty when money is of major issue than borrowing to get into the few high priced programs. Also picking a school that will work out if that major is no longer wanted is important. I 've known brilliant kids at schools just for their BA/MD program, that decided being a doctor was not for them, to others who switched from some good career direction programs that might have been worth the extra cost to some general degree program that was not and could have been gotten at other school for much less. Not an issue if the family can afford it, but if not, it it’s the only thing making the cost worthwhile and it’s dropped, it can be an issue. </p>