<p>Based off of past years I'm guessing around 31,000. What do you think?</p>
<p>I’m guessing a little higher (which is unfortunate since I’m applying RD) simply because there will be more HYP EA rejects applying.</p>
<p>Bucsfan is exactly right. Duke is going to get a million applications. It is a “safety” or back-up plan for top Ivy applicants, it is a match for others, and a reach for others, so just about every top student will apply to Duke.</p>
<p>I actually don’t think it will be much different from last year! The same demographic of students are applying (even if they are HYP rejects or deferrals)! The same people would have applied RD anyway!</p>
<p>^Even if the demographics remain the same, historical trends over the past decade beg to differ. As centralized application services such as the CommonApp become more and more prevalent, applicants are applying to more and more colleges.</p>
<p>Duke’s claim that their main supplement essay “the only thing requiring effort” means that a ton of applicants casting wide nets will apply, and a sizeable amount will not do that optional essay. I think that in the RD round, not doing that essay is a huge red flag, but it means that Duke will continue to increase its application numbers. In addition, it will continue to receive a lot of applications from unqualified basketball fans, in my opinion.</p>
<p>^Concurrently, the portion of the applicant pool that Duke auto-rejects without adcom review has also been rising.</p>
<p>is review of trinity and pratt applicants done completely separately? and by different admissions officers?</p>
<p>No its read regionally, but they take into consideration what school you are applying to.</p>
<p>Yes, I just read that Chronicle article from 2010 where Guttentag reversed some 500-1000 decisions because they had overadmitted Pratt and underadmitted Trinity. I think it was implied that reversal was rejection → acceptance and not the other way around.</p>
<p>so scary. i’m sure they’ll be getting at least 30,000+. talk about serious competition…</p>
<p>31,500 according to people who posted who got likely letters. </p>
<p>…and I bet their acceptance rate will be an all time low as well.</p>
<p>2010 stats: 26,770 applied. 3372 accepted (12.60%)</p>
<p>2011 stats: 29,689 applied. 3739 accepted (12.59%)</p>
<p>2012 stats: TBA, but I suspect the acceptance rate will probably be 10.5-11.5%.</p>
<p>“In addition, it will continue to receive a lot of applications from unqualified basketball fans, in my opinion.”</p>
<p>As well as qualified basketball fans. ;)</p>
<p>^ ^ ^ ^ ^</p>
<p>You could hardly be more wrong. Far less than 5 percent of applicants – especially in the last 5+ years – are assessed as marginally qualified; the fact is, 90+ percent are exceptionally accomplished – with great long-term potential – and are quite difficult to rank or to differentiate, one from another. I based the foregoing facts on two decades of Duke Alumni leadership, including the Alumni Admissions Advisory Committee, the Annual Fund Executive Committee, and the Alumni Association Executive Committee.</p>
<p>This year is 31500
I got it in my scholarship letter.</p>