<p>Just wondering. Hope it isn't just a cycle where:</p>
<p>1) Person 1 wants to know his/her chances
2) Person 2 responds, hoping Person 1 chances him/her
3) Person 1 chances back out of politeness
4) Both Person 1 and Person 2 end up inflating each others' confidence</p>
<p>Please tell me that we do have at least someone chancing us who really knows our chances and isn't just guessing.</p>
<p>I do that, but I honestly do think whether or not the person will get in, considering things besides stats such as EC's, level of involvement, leadership, and essays</p>
<p>I try to make informed guesses and if I have no clue then I'll tell them rather than make up an answer. Also there really isn't a point in these threads other than to boost/destroy confidence lol. The reason for that is because none of us can tell admins people who to choose.
Chance threads can be helpful if someone is over/under estimating themselves though. It can really save someone's butt if they have 6 reaches and 1 match lol</p>
<p>It is, but some times it can discourage people from too high aspirations, or maybe we can give pointers as to what they can improve on to get in. It might be mostly for morale, but it does have some value and most people are usually honest.</p>
<p>The biggest problem is probably lack of knowledge. I've seen so many chance threads that I know who has a shot and who doesnt. Noobs (sorry :( ) can only make guesses. This kinda ruins it because most of the people who want to be chanced and do the chancing are the new guys on the block. So yeah... just a point</p>
<p>I don't think anyone can conjecture the admission chances perfectly, but seeing that many of people here are either so well informed or so well educated, I think these types of nonprofessional assessments are quite close to the real chances.
And if anyone was to do any from the list, I think he or she has at least some kind of knowledge of what he or she is talking about because it will just sound absurd if the person is just bsing for the sake of their benefit.</p>
<p>Good point, vestige. But my concern is that people aren't so much bs-ing as they are passing along hearsay or unverified statements like "Duke is so much easier to get into than the Ivies" - because it's not. At all. I respect the time and effort that all of us take to give each other honest appraisals, but I'd just like one from someone from "the inside", you know?</p>
<p>Yeah I guess you're right... but a day ago I thought CC was moderated by college admissions officers or at least people who know a ton about the admissions process. I'm still recovering from post-truth-hit-me-in-the-face disorder. Hey, at least CC people are as informed and educated as high schoolers get.</p>
<p>There are many people on CC who have experience whether it be working for a college admissions or just putting 1-5 kids through colleges. I, unfortunately, am only a student but I've done enough research to know how selective certain colleges are. I try to estimate how well a student's stats match up to college stats and give an honest answer. I would appreciate if others gave me an honest answer too, as well as tips to improve myself.</p>
<p>Nobody has a clue. It's all a self-confidence builder. Most people who post their chances on here that are applying to ivy league simply like to flaunt their statistics.</p>
<p>It's basically the same thing as asking your friends...except you don't know any of us in real life. You don't want to destroy someone's hopes, but you want to be encouraging yet critical and realistic.</p>
<p>But I think you can generally ignore "OMG UR DEF IN CHANCE ME PLZ!!!" because that doesn't help you. But if someone says...hey maybe your gpa could be a little better or you need to explain that EC in your app, it may help you.</p>