How much does Fall Semester Grades affect my chance?

As the title says, I’m a transfer hopping to get into UCD for Fall 2016 and I was wondering when filling in my fall grades for the TAU (Transfer Academic Update) how much does it affect my chance? I know that spring grades don’t affect my chance but I was curious about the fall ones.

An application isn’t even looked at until the TAU. Your fall grades are just as important as any other grades, and one could maybe argue that they’re even more important, as they’re the most recent grades they have to look at and evaluate you off of.