<p>Ugh, you guys drive me crazy with your armchair statistics. First of all, UC Irvine and UC Davis’s higher drop in admittance rate (proportionally) was due to the fact that their enrollment cuts were proportionally large than UCSB’s. See here for details:</p>
<p>[University</a> of California - UC Newsroom | UC Regents approve plans to trim enrollment, freeze senior management pay as part of response to state budget challenge](<a href=“http://www.universityofcalifornia.edu/news/article/19314/]University”>http://www.universityofcalifornia.edu/news/article/19314/)</p>
<p>Also, let me let you in on a little secret…</p>
<p>UCSB’s growth is governed heavily by the California Coastal Commission because of it’s location on the ocean. As a result, UCSB has to jump through LOTS of hoops in order to increase enrollment. As of now, UCSB has a hard cap of 20,000 total students set by it’s previous long range development plan. In the 2025 LRDP, UCSB plans to eventually increase enrollment to 25,000 people, after much compromise with the city of Goleta, County of Santa Barbara, and CCC. </p>
<p>As of now, the proportion of graduate students is 13%. UCSB plans to increase that to 17% with it’s 2025 LRDP. By the law of math, that means that 83% are projected to undergraduates for a total enrollment of 20,750 by 2025, up from 17,400 (using those same percentages) in 2008. So UCSB is planning on adding 3,300 undergrads.</p>
<p>Compare this to Irvine and Davis, who intend to grow a lot more. For example, UC Irvine plans to grow to 23,725 undergraduates by 2015 according to their documents, from 19,051 currently. So that’s 4,674 undergrads they plan to add.</p>
<p>UC Davis plans to enroll 5,300 freshmen per Fall class in 2020 according to documents I found on their website. What does this mean? While Irvine and Davis will grow, UCSB will stay small, decreasing the pool of possible students creating lower admission rates.</p>