Match/highmatch/reach = what percentage ?

Hi guys,

I was curious to know if the forum has official percentages for the terms used to chance people.

Is low match 80% chance ? or 90 % ? Is Reach 10 % ? Or 35 % ?

Thanks for your replies

bump because I would like to know as well.

bump same here

There are no rules, it is every chancers opinion.

Wait a minute. Do you mean that all the chances posted here…ALL of them…have been opinions?

LOL!!

@JustOneDad‌
Can’t tell if you’re being sarcastic, but if you were, that was a good one.

@meriks‌
For those who chance you as a “high match” or “low reach,” it’s their opinions. There are three levels to chancing, from safety to match to reach, and high, mid, low for each. High reach being the Ivies and all other colleges with <10% acceptance rates (Stanford, MIT, etc.). Safeties are those schools you can get into without much work.

There is no official “percentage” for reaches or matches. It’s all relative on the scale. Granted, you do have to take in acceptance rates and SAT scores and all that, but there are no “percentage” related values you can associate with someone chancing you as a match.

Putting exact numbers to arbitrary chances would be illogical; like estimating the distance to the Moon accurate to the millimeter. Think it’s pretty much just common sense.

Match/reach is defined by the applicant’s stats, not the school’s stats. For some walk-on-water applicants, all schools are a match. For a low achieving, non-hooked applicant, all schools are a reach.

. . . it is an ART, not a SCIENCE, is it not?