My son was accepted, and didn’t receive any merit aid. A good friend of his who graduated from his high school two years ago said he received a very generous merit award from UR (though ultimately matriculated elsewhere). The friend told us that he thought that my son would do even better on the merit aid front, since my son has a higher GPA, higher class rank, took the same AP classes, and iirc had higher SAT’s, and better EC’s. We were hopeful, but it didn’t happen.
I don’t know why he was overlooked for merit aid, but I suspect that his SAT’s, which were weak by UR standards, were probably a factor. He didn’t take any SAT II’s due to scheduling conflicts, and that might have made him appear to be a bit of a slacker. He also attends a tiny rural public high school, and their AP offerings are limited compared to most other schools. He took as rigorous a course load as was offered (minus one AP class unrelated to his chosen major that simply didn’t interest him), but it probably paled in comparison to most applicants’ class schedules. And though his GPA and class rank are respectable, they’re both adversely impacted by his heavy participation in winter sports: he misses (with school permission) about two days of school per week during January and February, and this has been the case throughout high school. That’s the sort of schedule intrusion that simply doesn’t come across clearly in a college application.
It probably also doesn’t help that he’s always been a fairly humble kid. After his interview at Rochester (his first and only college interview) I asked him how it had gone (“I think it went well”) and then asked him what he had talked about with the interviewer. He said that he had talked about his passion for winter sports, and his study plans for the future. I asked him whether he had mentioned that he was about to have an article he had written published in an enthusiast’s magazine about his experience in a hobby that is an unusual one for teenagers to be involved in. “No, doesn’t that seem too boastful, Mom?” I suggested that if he had a change of heart, he could send a link or a scan to the admissions offices as a supplement to his application (a suggestion that his high school guidance counselor seconded), but he didn’t want to do so. When a relevant NYTimes blog picked up on it and interviewed him for a short piece published later that fall, he still refused to self-promote. I’ve been “hands off” with my kids’ college applications, so I didn’t push the issue. He did get need-based aid, and it’s enough that he will be able to attend.
As for the table you’re referring to, is that the 2011 interview? If so, I read that article as well, and based on that information, my son would have qualified for some decent merit aid, even with the fair-to-middling SAT scores. However, it’s worth keeping in mind that that article is fairly dated, and that I would imagine that things change quite a bit from year to year depending on the strength of the applicant pool. Much as it was nice to read that article and consider the possibilities, I don’t begrudge the FA office if things have changed in the past four years and they’re no longer able to offer merit aid based on very dated criteria.