On a scale of 1-100, what are my chances?

On scale of 1-100, what are my chances of: Harvard, UPenn, Stanford, Brown, Cornell, Vanderbilt, BC, BU, Northwestern, Duke, UCONN, NYU

Statistics:
ACT Composite: 32
SAT 1: 2100
SAT 2s: 710, 700
UW GPA: 3.80
Weighted GPA: 4.74/5.33
Class Rank: Top 10%
AP Scores: Bio 4, Calc AB 4, USH 4, Euro 4, Macro econ 5, Eng lang 5, US Gov 5

Extra Currics:

  1. Ultimate Frisbee player for a team- 4 years
  2. Soccer for a team- 2
  3. Volunteering for the special olympics regularly, 3 hours/week/all year round/ 4 years
  4. Founded and lead school chapter of the Junior State of America- 4 years
  5. NHS (2 years)
  6. Tutored little kids (1 year)
  7. Class Officer (2 years)

Thanks in advance! I want to save you guys typing so I will just type below what you should copy paste into a comment with your scale out of a 100.

Harvard-
Stanford-
Brown-
Cornell-
UPenn-
Vandy-
BC-
BU-
NYU-
Northwestern-
Duke-
UConn-

I would say that your chances can be very different depending on your ethnicity. If you’re white, middle class, and without any hooks, here’s how I would imagine:

Harvard, Stanford: 6/100 (considering the average applicant has a chance of 5%)
Brown, Cornell, Upenn, NU, Duke: 15/100 (acceptance rates for all of these hover at about 10%)
Vandy: 35/100
BC, BU, NYU: 65/100
Uconn: 99/100

Keep in mind these are VERY rough estimations; there are many different factors to take into account. If you are Asian (including Indian) give yourself a multiplier of 0.5 and if you’re black/native american give yourself a multiplier of 1.5-2. Do the same with your supplements: if they were great/unique, your chances go up; conversely, if they were poor, your chances go down. Again, I’m a nobody so take my predictions with a grain of salt.

Harvard- 10
Stanford- 11
Brown- 30
Cornell- 38
UPenn- 12
Vandy- 11
BC- 90
BU- 100
NYU- 75
Northwestern- 30
Duke- 38
UConn- 100

These are estimates, and if I did this again tomorrow I would likely come up with slightly different answers. I DO think it is a harder to get into Stanford than Vanderbilt for example, but I give you the same percent chance to get in based on your GPA and SAT score. The acceptance rate is lower at Stanford because so many more people apply to get in there…it’s a great school, don’t get me wrong (I lived on campus for 4 years as my wife was getting a graduate degree from there, so I have a love for that place), but their SAT 25-75 range is nearly identical to Vanderbilt’s.

BU and UConn are assured for you, and I DO think you will get into some of the others (likely BC), but most of those are all reach schools for most everyone (I say ALL the Ivies and Stanford are a reach for anyone).

Harvard-8
Stanford-8
Brown-31
Cornell-40
UPenn-31
Vandy-50
BC-90
BU-85
NYU-65
Northwestern-60
Duke-60
UConn-100

We also don’t know your ethnicity. Plus, what major your going into matters. Your stats are superb for UConn, BC, BU. You will most likely get into NW, Duke, NYU. However, your SAT is too low for Harvard or Stanford. Maybe, Brown or UPenn, and Cornell is a definite possibility.

Any hooks to put you in any special pools. such as legacy, celebrity, development, recruited athlete, first generations, special challenges, URMs?

Otherwise.take percent admiited and divide by two and you have your chances.

@cptofthehouse‌ why do you say that? That would mean I have about a 20% chance of getting into my safety. Are my stats that bad compared to others?

Harvard - 3
Stanford - 2

Your numbers are on the outside low edge of everything.
Here are my comments on your ECs

  1. How was the season?
  2. 2 years. Must have liked it.
  3. Really? What do you do for the Special Olympics?
  4. This one’s good. What did you win?
  5. Meh.
  6. Um, okay.
  7. Good. What did you accomplish?