Princeton SCEA statistics

<p>Based on the 39 posts on the SCEA results thread here is the data I've gathered:</p>

<p>Overall acceptance rate: 56%</p>

<p>Acceptance rate by gender:[ul]
[<em>]Male: 52%
[</em>]Female: 60%
[/ul]</p>

<p>Acceptance rate by race:[ul]
[<em>]White: 50%
[</em>]Asian: 53%
[<em>]Black: 100% (only 1 applicant)
[</em>]Hispanic: 0% (only 1 applicant)
[/ul]</p>

<p>Acceptance rate by gender & race:[ul]
[<em>]White, Male: 71%
[</em>]White, Female: 43%
[<em>]Asian Male: 45%
[</em>]Asian Female: 80%
[<em>]Black Male: 100%
[</em>]Black Female: n/a
[<em>]Hispanic Male: n/a
[</em>]Hispanic Female: 0%
[/ul]</p>

<p>Averages:[ul]
[<em>]SAT[list]
[li]Accepted - 2315[/li][</em>]Deferred - 2317
[<em>]Rejected - 2140
[/ul]
[li]SATII[ul][/li][li]Accepted - 2343[/li][</em>]Deferred - 2302
[li]Rejected - 2240[/li][/ul]
[/list]</p>

<p>Comments:</p>

<p>The average SATII scores were calculated by adding up an applicant's 3 highest SATII scores (if 3 or more were taken), or summing up the 2 highest and multiplying by 1.5 (to convert the scale to 2400). Also, scores in a native language (such as Chinese) were ignored. For example if an applicant had the following scores:</p>

<p>770 Physics, 740 Literature = 1510 * (1.5) = 2265</p>

<p>This index seemed to be a better predictor of acceptance than the SAT reasoning. </p>

<p>My question to you guys is, these admit rates are pretty high, and do you think they will stay this high for RD?</p>

<p>Don’t think I ever posted my stats in there- white male, 2340 SAT, SAT II’s: 800 World, 750 Lit, Accepted.</p>

<p>and

Of course not. I’m predicting around 10 or 12% perhaps for RD. It just cannot be as high considering that around half of the class (assuming yield rate is decent) is taken up.</p>

<p>I think he means the college confidential acceptance rate. By the above calculations:</p>

<p>CC SCEA rate: 56%
normal SCEA rate: 20%</p>

<p>CC RD rate: —
normal RD rate: 8%</p>

<p>So what would you predict CC RD rate?</p>

<p>Didn’t realize that. I think the acceptance rate will be somewhat lower, although the results will likely be too biased. People really interested in Princeton will be applying SCEA in addition to posting on the CC Princeton forum (interest + CC use indicate higher chance of acceptance, in general). People less interested in Princeton would apply RD and probably won’t bother posting on the CC Princeton forum (disadvantage [presumably] from applying RD), so those numbers will likely be quite a bit lower.</p>

<p>Would the Princeton adcom really check this site for such verification though? I doubt it. Besides, unless the poster makes their identity fairly blatant, I doubt the adcom would go around trying to find out who a particular poster really is.</p>

<p>I really hope the OP goes to Princeton! But if he stated he wanted to be a statistician or a sociologist, by virtue of his conclusions in post 1, he’s sunk.</p>

<p>OP: think sample size; think stats aren’t everything</p>

<p>Lol we can do confidence intervals and margin and error;
It’s a shame that we have so little data.</p>

<p>I am kind of encouraged though, that the admit rate for this forum is ~50%
That makes me feel a lot better than 8%</p>

<p>I wish that that 50% was overall lol. I will prob. be a deferred white male next year. You never know though, right.</p>

<p>Also, using a simple multiplicative ratio, acceptance rate in RD will be 22-23%.</p>

<p>Yikes I hope not. I think MIT was CCRD was 20% (<10% RD for normal people).</p>

<p>You really think it will be that low?</p>

<p>I would predict 40-50 percent</p>

<p>I wouldn’t rely on the OP’s stats. My son is considered Hispanic and he was admitted.</p>

<p>There was only 1 person who reported that was hispanic</p>

<p>I think the type of people who post on College Confidential are more likely to get in.</p>

<p>

</p>

<p>No one is questioning that.</p>

<p>The question is if CC had a 56% acceptance rate SCEA, what will it be RD?</p>

<p>Guys, I think we’re forgetting about nonresponse bias;
Not everyone on CC reports whether they got in or not.</p>

<p>Perhaps people who got in are more likely to say that they did?
This would certainly skew the sample statistic…</p>

<p>omg those #'s look TERRIFYING. I’m 99.999% confident that my chance of getting accepted by Princeton is between 0.0001 and 0.1. LOL</p>

<p>

Exactly. xabsox wins.</p>

<p>

</p>

<p>You are right in that the people who post are self selected on two levels. First, not many princeton applicants are members of college confidential. Second, even those who are members, may not post, depending on their decision.</p>

<p>However, you are kind of missing the point. My main question is, what do you think the percentage accepted will be for those on CC? Obviously this isn’t representative of the entire population of princeton applicants, however this statistic is relatively useful. It can gauge the degree of difficulty for the non-hooked applicant.</p>

<p>For example. MIT had roughly a ~22% CC RD acceptance rate. If you read through the results thread, you will notice that it was a blood bath and that many highly qualified candidates were rejected. </p>

<p>However, if you read through the Princeton SCEA thread, there weren’t that many highly qualified candidates deferred. Sure there were some, but that vast majority of 2300+, high gpa, good SATII’s were accepted. Hence CC had a 56% acceptance rate.</p>

<p>Am I making sense?</p>

<p>^ You’re making sense on a level, yes, but you seem to imply that the CC population is comprised entirely/mainly of 2300+, high gpa and good SAT II applicants. Either way, I think that predicting a RD acceptance yield from such limited data and bias is a futile attempt at measuring our chances.</p>

<p>To the OP</p>

<p>I think that your numbers don’t really reflect much of anything. If you look at the thread that simply lists EA acceptances/deferrals/rejections, you’ll see that approximately 31 kids reported deferrals, approximately 12 were accepted and 3 were rejected. It appears that a number of the deferred students didn’t want to report their stats, because they haven’t posted on the results thread.</p>

<p>And I venture to say that a number of rejected/deferred candidates simply didn’t post anything about their decisions at all, whereas accepted students were more inclined to post something.</p>

<p>The OP appears to be a Princeton/MIT/Yale applicant. I sure hope he didn’t ask his statistics or sociology teacher for a rec letter. His/Her analytical skills seem lacking…</p>

<p>(well, he/she had a huge meltdown after hearing MIT rejected him/her – mega rant over there — yeech)</p>