@CroissantMiser - Glad you S18 is thinking about St. Olaf. If you’ve been on their website I you know you can read about they many wonderful programs at this school. We are so happy for our S16!
Re: Admission rates. If you go back further in the records - Google “St. Olaf Common Data Set” you’ll see that 2015 was an outlier. http://wp.stolaf.edu/ir-e/st-olaf-college-cds-summary-most-recent-5-years/
I checked even further back in the records, because I was curious, and found that the # of applicants was pretty steadily around 4000 per year from 2007-2013, with admit rates in the mid to high 50% range.
As you pointed out, in 2014 the amount of applications jumped about 20% to 4875, and then leapt to 7571 in 2015. This figure almost looks like an error, it’s so out of the norm, mostly due to 4695 Male applicants (more than 2x the # of 2177 male applicants in 2015.) The # Female applicants has remained fairly stable, (2698 in 2014 and 2876 2015).
So the overall admit rate fell to 36%, in 2015, but mostly due the admit rate for men, which fell to 25%. Women’s admit rate was still 53% that year. Then, in 2016, the # of applicants fell but was still well above the past numbers: 6041, but admit rate was still 44%, below the historic norm. Again male applicants exceeded female applicants 3213/2828, which is unusual for a liberal arts college, as you know.
I’m not sure the reason for this 2 year upward trend, and it will be interesting to see the data for my S17 year. He knows about an = number of men & woman applicants from his school, but of the people we met at the amazing parent’s reception they held, most were parents of boys, so we’ll have to wait and see.
Anyway, I would not base a decision to apply or not apply to a college based on admit rates. Finding a good campus fit, where you S18 will be happy, and where he will find areas of academic and extra curricular interests, are most important, IMHO.
Also we used information from the “Freshman Profile” of each school’s Common Data Set, to find out if our S16 and S17 had a good chance of being admitted. For St. Olaf, the 25% / 75% range for the ACT was 26 / 31, and the avg GPA was 3.63 UW. However, most LACs DO consider the complete application, not just these stats. You’re just more likely to get merit aid, if the schools gives it at all, if your student is above the 75% level stats.
Sorry for the long post!