Stanford is tough. The numbers are daunting before you even break them down. Then, if you remove recruited athletes and other “hooked” applicants, the odds for unhooked applicants are very, verrry long. Sure, you’d have a 4.0 without your freshman grades, but so do thousands of other applicants who don’t get in.
I’m not sure this would clear the “worth traveling across the country” bar for you, but the whole UC system is freshman-blind and currently test-blind as well… and the College for Creative Studies at UCSB (a small-college-within-a-large-university which has an additional application process in addition to applying to the campus via the UC app) has this major that might appeal: Writing & Literature | UCSB College of Creative Studies Probably doesn’t land above the distance vs. desirability curve but just fwiw.
Kenyon has a terrific reputation for writing - I’m not sure there’s that much of a reputation gap between Kenyon and Hamilton, at least where writing is concerned. Is the “prestige” difference between Skidmore and Wesleyan really enough to override your particular “fit factors?” Absolutely, you deserve to be rewarded for your hard work - but going where you will be happy and thrive is a better reward than the momentary rush of people at your prep school being incrementally more impressed. I went to an elite prep school so I know how built up this can get. But six months later, when you’re actually at college, that will all be ancient history. Students at Kenyon aren’t walking around pining for Williams. At every “trophy school,” there are happy students, but there are also students who would’ve been happier at their 2nd or 3rd choice. You deserve the best possible experience in college, and none of the schools we’re discussing is a consolation prize. Really try to focus on where you can best picture yourself for 4 years.
The other advantage of ED is that it’s just a smaller pool, so your evolution as a student will get a closer look. Of course, it only makes sense to apply ED if you can truly identify your top choice(s). But if a couple of schools emerge that really feel like they fit, don’t let FOMO over a bright-shiny-object school that you might not even like as well keep you from following your gut.
Do you think you’ll be able to do a few college visits before you decide?