Rough Class of 2016 statistics

<p>President Leebron sent out an email to alumni saying that the the number of fall applications was about 15,100 and that Rice will hold the class to 935. This will balance out last year's number (50 more students than expected). And then the following years the classes will be 950.</p>

<p>Here were ED results: 1,231 applicants, 306 were admitted.</p>

<p>He didn’t send me one; do you think Leebron doesn’t like me?</p>

<p>:(</p>

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<p>Definitely. His whole scheme is to leave you uninformed so that you give wrong answers on CC. </p>

<p>Sounds like a potential James Bond plot.</p>

<p>Wait, 15,100 applicants? or 5,100? </p>

<p>15,100 = 6.2% admit rate
5,100 = 18.2% admit rate</p>

<p>Remember, they admit more than 935 to get a class of that size. So that’s not the admit rate. But I’ve heard 15,000 too. Another startling statistic: apparently Admissions is expecting 3,000-4,000 visitors (admitted students and families) on Admit Days and Owl Days this year.</p>

<p>If your’e looking at a similar yield rate as last year’s which was 38%, about 2460 students will be admitted, bringing the expected admission rate out of 15000 applicants to about 16.4%</p>

<p>I think they will (or at least should) account for yield to increase a little bit - it’s been consistently going up since 2005ish, and we’ve had a lot of problems with college overcrowding in recent years. I’d bet on them playing it safe and estimating at 40ish%, working out to a final admit rate of 15.5% (but then again, I don’t work at admissions).</p>

<p>They’re probably going to overestimate yield and make considerable use of the waitlist, as they really can’t over-admit again.</p>

<p>So we’re most likely going to be looking at a low to mid teens acceptance rate when all is said and done.</p>

<p>Assuming ED applicants are part of 15100, then RD is 13,900, and last year RD yield was 31%. If we assume yield goes up to 35% and there are about 630 spots left after considering ED, that gives about a 13% RD admission rate. My math might be flawed, but that’s very low compared to previous years, isn’t it?</p>

<p>I feel like a huge tool linking to this again, but here’s an admissions analysis I did in December (before we knew there were 15,100 apps): [Rice</a> Admission Projections](<a href=“http://■■■■■■/tBj0UR]Rice”>http://■■■■■■/tBj0UR). Subzero’s math sounds right to me though. And yes, this is significantly lower than in previous years (quoth the roommate: “I think the stock of my education just shot through the roof. What’s that whooshing noise? Everyone taking my resume.”)</p>

<p>What might this mean for transfers? I’m trying to get in for the fall semester coming in from NYU, and this has me worried…</p>

<p>^^Since the yield for the current freshman class was unexpectedly high this can only be bad news for potential transfers. I hope you are one of the lucky ones.</p>

<p>The target class size for transfers next fall is 45. Best of luck to you!</p>

<p>How many transfers have applied in recent years?</p>

<p>The most recent number I could find for you was 403 transfer applicants in 2004. I do know this number swings significantly year to year.
([Source](<a href=“http://www.ruf.rice.edu/~instresr/ricestatistics/Pages/select04.html]Source[/url]”>http://www.ruf.rice.edu/~instresr/ricestatistics/Pages/select04.html)</a>)</p>

<p>Since they’re obviously a lot more selective this year, does that mean that the average admitted student stats will go up a lot? or is it just because they’ve been getting more publicity and people with no chance are applying? I’m freaking out right now, Rice is my #1 choice and I’m applying ED next year, and I get my first SAT score tomorrow!!!</p>

<p>You really can’t reach a conclusion about stats going up. What I will say is the following: applicants to highly-selective colleges/universities are somewhat self-selective. In other words, they choose to apply to the school because they think it would be a good fit for them. As awareness about Rice grows, the number of applications will rise, but I do not suspect a large change in the stats. There will simply be more applicants who are strong enough to get into a highly-selective university that are now aware of Rice.</p>

<p>Remember this: your SAT score is just a reflection of how you spent a couple of hours on a Saturday morning. Some people test well, some don’t. The SAT is not the only component of the application for a reason. Rice’s holistic process assures that everything will be considered.</p>