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<p>Pascal’s Wager, in the way in which it is typically instructed, seems superficially convincing, but when one reverses the argument into it’s more plausible alternative, it is a very poorly constructed and ill-considered argument. There are several things wrong with adhering to religious belief on the basis of such. Most individuals grasp the principle of the concept without truly considering it’s actual implications.</p>
<p>Firstly, it’s basis of reasoning is contingent on a variety of baseless presumptions. It assumes that some god exists – more specifically, that a particular god exists – and that it is omniscient (privy to one’s belief), omnibenevolent (fair and rewarding to belief), omnipresent (everywhere at the same time), and omnipotent (the ability to do anything and, in this particular case, the power to send people to delusional fantasy worlds). It postulates the existence of an afterlife, a transcendentally immortal soul, diametrically opposed netherworlds, and that the bloke will be dazzled by those who worship and glorify it. </p>
<p>It shoulders the presumption that an inherent “will to believe” is required – not only hoping that something is true but genuinely believing it to be so regardless of the extent to which one’s rationality informs oneself. </p>
<p>For instance, pretend for a moment that Pascal’s Wager was intimately associated with the promise of a blissful afterlife if one adhere’s to the farcical belief in a flat Earth. If this were the case, I would greatly think that there would be a greater quantity of individuals who dispute the reality that Earth is round by nature regardless of the evidence that irrefutably corrodes such a perspective. Simply put, the fear of mortality or the “guarantee” of an unpleasant transcendent existence fosters irrational belief even when confronted by the reality that the Earth is indeed spherical. Even if one were inclined to reflect upon the outlook, it is quite doubtful whether one could genuinely and unaffectedly believe it.</p>
<p>Moreover, Pascal’s Wager posits the assumption that disbelief in some god warrants an eternal damnation to some unbearably unpleasant underworld. (Like “heaven,” this is an ignorant, brashly conceived entity, but I will expand upon that shortly down this chain of posts.) This is patently wrong since many human beings that have ever existed have had absolutely no exposure to the belief in a personal god who dictates post-mortum experience on the sole criteria of worship and principled conduct. Would this equitable, warmhearted god penalize those with absolutely no contact with Christianity or the aforementioned conviction? Is every being that existed before Christianity (or any religion that uses a post-mortum dichotomy of transcendent abodes) or those that never have contact with the religion relegated to eternal torment?</p>
<p>By the same token, it presumes there is a unmistakably transparent reason for rewarding pressurized, blind, or dishonest faith. In essence, it is assumed that a deity favors indiscriminate belief over logic, rationality, and acknowledgment of objective evidence. Moreover, it fancies that the faith of a believer is fundamentally superior to the personal courage of the secularist who thrives on the awe of understanding and leads a virtuous life – doing what is right for the common good rather than selfishly sucking up to some perception of a big boss governing all of humanity.</p>
<p>Lastly, Pascal’s Wager thrives on the outlook that there is one true god and thus the notional adherence to polytheism, personified animisms, or the “wrong” god of other monotheistic cultures results in zero benefit and hence damnation. Also, for causticity’s purpose, it isn’t any less substantiated that some supernatural conception thrives on punishing its supporters and rewarding its dissidents, skeptics, or those simply unaffiliated. </p>
<p>But criticism of Pascal’s Wager certainly transcends beyond its fabricated idealisms and spurious assumptions. The stiff, uncomfortable truth, as I stated many pages back, is that there exists an infinite number of hypothetical gods or transcendent spirits, each dedicated with their own capacities, faculties, and jurisdiction over a particular realm, as dictated by their followers who perceive themselves as subordinates. Allah, Yahweh, Jove (and his supporting cast), Tlaloc, and Quetzalcoatl are just as vacuously conceived as the Flying Spaghetti Monster and invisible pink unicorns. </p>
<p>In essence, one is selecting out of an infinite variety of deities. So while choosing a specific god, one’s probability of selecting the “correct” one is one out of infinity. So one’s prospect of choosing the “correct god” is effectively zero. And by choosing incorrectly, there exists an infinite quantity of deities just as inclined to commit one to eternal damnation. In summary, even proceeding with the abundance of (irrational and baseless) assumptions enumerated above, all of which are required for this argument to progress, the likelihood of one transcending to “paradise,” “Valhalla,” “the hereafter,” or whatever is essentially nil without regard to one’s degree of religiosity. </p>
<p>One’s ideological stance, quite frankly, is much safer when reversed since selecting the “wrong religion” (which, from a mathematical standpoint, is guaranteed) is the most hazardous option. Let’s say that one believes in Christian god and juxtapose this conception alongside a god who punishes based on adherence to irrational beliefs. (I’ll call him Rufus.) When reversing the argument, the four paradigms appear as such (again, the same assumptions are in place for the sake of facilitating argument):</p>
<p>[ul][<em>]If one believes in the Christian god and Rufus does exist, one will be relegated to “eternal damnation,” an infinite deficit.
[</em>]If one believes in the Christian god and Rufus does not exist, one will not be compensated, a finite deficit.
[<em>]If one does not believe in the Christian god and Rufus does exist, one will be compensated with “eternal bliss,” an infinite benefit.
[</em>]If one does not believe in the Christian god and Rufus does not exist, one will not be compensated, but will have lived one’s life, a finite benefit.[/ul]</p>
<p>Following Pascal’s Wager in reverse is a much more secure option given the virtual certainty of selecting the incorrect god to worship. The argument is infinitely more profitable for the atheist and detrimental for the theist who must claim worship to a particular god to enter such an erroneously conceived gambit. Hence, as far as probability theory goes, which is a very prevalent and inescapable facilitator of dialogue in ontological discussions, atheism wins with flying colors.</p>
<p>Even Homer Simpson has it figured out: “Suppose we’ve chosen the wrong god. Every time we go to church we’re just making him madder and madder.”</p>