<p>Early-Decision</a> Applications Surge at Vanderbilt, George Washington and Dartmouth - NYTimes.com </p>
<p>Two years ago, Vandy admitted 45% of its EDI pool, how much do you think they'll admit this year? The wait is excruciating!</p>
<p>Probably no more than %50</p>
<p>An admissions connection told me in late September that if the application trend they were experiencing trended like last year, they would have a record number of applications. That person gave a number, but I hesitate to post it here. Let’s just say it’s more than 2 1/2 times the number of applications received in the year my oldest applied.
Regarding ED, remember that it helps the yield to have a strong number of accepted students from the ED pool. Two years ago the intention was to take about 40% of the class through ED, which would be roughly 600 students since they try to cap the class at a little more than 1500 since they opened The Commons. I believe this was disclosed on the admissions blog shortly after the EDII results were mailed. Prior to bringing The Commons to fruition, the class was allowed to run a higher number and freshmen were stuck in nooks and crannies all over campus in an effort to provide housing.
Good luck to all the ED1 applicants waiting for a decision!</p>
<p>2VU is right that they try to take 33-40% of the class from ED. Assuming they take 40% total from ED1 and ED2 to make up the class, 600 divided by 1700 (current ED1 numbers from the NYT article) would mean a 35% acceptance rate total, which isn’t even close to realistic since it doesn’t include applications for ED2 yet. </p>
<p>Sorry guys, this year is going to suck for you</p>
<p>How do you know they try taking 33-40% of the class from ED?
RD is probably going to be as competitive as top Ivies this year.</p>
<p>It’s pretty well established that’s how much they take. 33%-ish (low-end) is kind of how the old admissions dean operated (Shain) and it looks like the new dean has a slightly different approach to class building by taking in 38-42% from the Early Decision pool. The class size is actually 1600 and not 1500, so not as bad as I previously thought, but it certainly still won’t be pleasant. Particularly for people applying RD.</p>
<p>Just to give people an idea of how this will play out. For the class of 2014, 1274 applied ED1 while 2150 total applied for ED1 & ED2. If the proportion of ED1:ED2 stays the same for this year (not true, but this is just for kicks anyway), then one would predict 2811 people applying ED for 698 spots (last year’s take) for a total ED admit rate of 25%. </p>
<p>It’s fun to play around and guess with this stuff</p>
<p>well that’s kinda lame. ED is supposed to have higher admission rates than RD. 25% is about the same -.-</p>
<p>I believe the admission rate for the RD round was in the low to mid teens the last two years. When you see an overall admission rate, it is inflated by the ED rate. It also climbs after they go to the wait list. It has been the intention of the admissions folks to allow for everyone to live at The Commons, so they purposefully try to insure they will be going to the waitlist and not overadmitting which was common before they began housing all freshmen together.</p>
<p>Wow, I kind of nailed the early decision admissions rate. Sweet</p>