Ah - they are a reference to something? I’ll have to ask D17 and hubby whether they got those references. Both definitely passed by me but I’m not into that stuff like they are.
I just figured a scarf came in handy in Chicago! Now if they would just send a coffee mug or shot glass . . .
…I don’t think they’re a reference to anything other than the admissions office would like you to come
I am just curious as a parent observer: what if all the ED and EDII accepted students all decide to commit early and matriculate (regardless of the FA package)? Does that mean the chance of all the RD admission is now slimmer than nothing?
Most schools yield 98% or better with ED so UChicago is already expecting virtually all of those ED and EDII kids to enroll. Shouldn’t have any impact on the RD decisions.
My son (an ED2 accepted student) reports that there are about 1000 kids in the class of 2021 accepted Facebook page…fwiw
@vandyeyes, 1071, to be exact. It’s a closed group but still gives the number of members.
I wouldn’t be surprised to see the yield for the Class of 2021 in the vicinity of 80%.
Let me give my two cents concerning the number of people in the Facebook group since I’m also a part of it. The 1071 members also include the admissions staff of UChicago as well (around 30-50 people) so the true number of accepted students is a bit smaller.
Thanks @ScrnNme. I notice that but wasn’t sure the number. Even with 100 admissions officers, that’s a lotta committed or potentially committed kids.
Someone told me that the number right before EDII was announced was 795. Wondering how many of those were admissions staff at the time.
@JBStillFlying I think the number is about the same. Most of the admission staffs were added to the group before December 19th (when the ED and EA) results came out. However a few recently joined. The group also includes uncommitted EA students as well.
Cheers.
@ScrnNme my son and two others we know are not in the facebook group (they don’t even use it). They communicate via other social media. Not sure how valid the collective number would be.
@fbsdreams it might not give us a valid total for number of those accepted, but I believe we can at least establish a minimum from it.
My D17 told me she’d never join a college FB group unless she had committed. Not entirely sure that’s an accurate representation of HS seniors in general. What’s interesting to me is the jump from 795 to 1071 (actually, now 1074). If all the admissions people were in the first group, then it’s the case that 276 kids signed up following the EDII release. Very reasonable to think that a good number of those are EDII admits, especially if you’ve been keeping track of the change each day following Feb. 15.
I’ve been tracking FB memberships for a number of elite colleges this application season. Many schools have announced the numbers they accepted in their ED round along with the numbers that applied and you can see the membership count in their 2021 FB pages. If you take an average of what percentage of admitted students for these schools are on the schools’ FB page, you can make a good approximation on how many applicants UChicago has accepted already.
It looks like UChicago has given a “Gigantic preference” to ED applicants this year.
Which absolutely makes sense if you want to substantially improve the yield rate…
Well, if you accept half binding Early Decision of some sort, with a yield of nearly 100%, and you accept the other half non-binding with an effective yield of 50%, then your overall yield shoots up to 75% which ain’t bad. Methinks UChicago is going for something north of 80% to beat out Stanford. However, I’m now questioning whether they really admitted 800 kids ED I like some were effectively hearing from that admissions event. That seems pretty extreme - 800 Total ED (ED I and ED II) seems more likely w/o having any additional information on who heard what the early admit rate was and what percentage might have been ED I vs. EA.
The numbers make no sense if they admitted 800 ED I, given that they must have admitted another 350-400 or so ED II based on that FB page. Leaving 400 spots for EA and RD just doesn’t pass the smell test, IMHO.
The numbers I previously posted for ED/EA/EDII rounds are from multiple sources @ 1150-1200 have been offered admittance with as many as 850-900 ED/EDII.
The RD round will absolutely be the smallest in history and overall the highest yield.
As I mentioned previously, timing of the EA release and the inclusion of EDII was genius. UChicago had its pick of the elite applicants. This class is going to rock.
Hats off to Nondorf and team. Super excited my son will be part of this class.
Based on the Facebook data and anecdotal data from others, here is my speculation on how the numbers break out
ED 1 acceptances: approx 800
EA acceptances: approx 400
ED II acceptances: approx 400
So far they seem to have given offers to about 1,600 students. That’s the number that would bring UChicago in line with the ** FB page membership to Admitted student ratio ** of other elite schools, unless you argue that UChicago’s FB page membership is somehow an outlier compared to rest of the elite schools
They will probably admit around 500 RD applicants. Last year they gave offers to around 2,500 students to fill a class of around 1,600. This year I think they will give offers to approximately 2,100 students to fill about the same class size, giving a yield of approximately 76%. Assuming almost no Year to Year growth in # of applications (highly unlikely) that will give a admit rate of around 6.5%
And like last year, they will most probably not officially release the breakdown of the various numbers. Instead they will just release
Total applications, Total admits, Total enrolled.
@denydenzig your numbers are definitely high for ED. Given ED/EDII probably have a yield of 95%+ and EA 75%+. Class of 2021 would be filled already.
I would put the open slots at around 400-450 +/- so deferred and RD would result in maybe 650 +/- offers.
Where they come from (RD, EA deferred or EDII deferred) is the real question.
@fbsdreams, no - it wouldn’t be filled already. The yield for the EA/RD kids might be low. We actually don’t know that yield because it’s not like previous years. This year, by introducing ED/EDII into the admissions pool, they have separated out the “definites” from the “not-so-definites-to-most-likely-nots”. It’s quite possible that the yield of EA/RD, combined, is closer to 50%. In that case, to fill a class of 1,600 with 1,200 already committed they would need to admit another 400 or so in RD (because 800 total “unbounded” admits at a 50% yield rate will fill the remaining 400 spots). That’s a total admit of 2,000, a yield of 80% (1,600 / 2,000) with only 60% of total admits via binding early decision of some sort.
Those are all-around great numbers for UChicago. The ED isn’t too controversially high when looked at from a “total admit” perspective, and the yield rivals Stanford and Harvard’s.