UCSD chances?

I’ll keep this simple and straightforward for you guys. Title says it all.

UC GPA: 3.81 (Capped, 4.26 uncapped-> ik Berkeley and ucla use uncapped when assigning admission points, but all ucs see this as well)

SAT I: 1570/1600
SAT II: Math2: 770 physics same score

Class rank 20/390
instate applicant

ECs: been pretty dedicated to three clubs in which I have an office role for two, varsity soccer all four years for highly ranked state team, and the usual community service stuff

Ik my GPA is low, but I’d like an opinion anyways. Tyvm mates

Intended major?

Thinking of political science.

I also plan on applying to UCSD with a polis sci major. I know a lot about admissions since I live in SD. Are you a CA resident?