<p>well i am actually not surprised by this...you have to consider all the applicants who have no shot at all too that apply. I know from my school around 30-40 kids applied and only about 10-15 really had a chance</p>
<p>jaw, </p>
<p>its not 28%, its like 33%. about 5100+about 900 (from ed) / 18000=about 33%</p>
<p>I am thinking that the acceptance rate will be higher next year because there will be no ED, so the yield rate would be smaller</p>
<p>well i don't think that will happen. there are 3 possibilities i can see. </p>
<p>1) UVa accepts about the same amount of students it always does (6000) and figures that anybody who would have applied ED and is just applying regular will still go...not affecting anything.</p>
<p>2) UVa accepts 6000 people, gets smaller than expected turnout, and pulls 300 or 400 people off the waitlist.</p>
<p>3) UVa somehow gets an influx of more applications because "not having ED will attract more people to apply" (which i think is the argument they made for dropping it...poor people don't apply because of ED...) and it will make the school more selective.</p>
<p>I'm going to guess 2 is most likely to happen, followed by 1, then 3.</p>
<p>Next year is going to be a challenge for the admissions staff, and they can go one of two ways with how they handle the lack of ED admisissions.
1) Jags 2nd way, which will recieve the same sort of criticism that WashU gets, or
2) UVA will raise the acceptance rate. For this year, there were the 5095 acceptances for roughly 2200 spots regular decision. That means 2.3 people were accepted for every spot in the regular decision pool, but if you add the 900 ED kids, there were 6000 acceptances for 3100 spots this years. That is a total of a 1.9 acceptance per spot this year. Without ED, they would use a number closer to the 2.3 for everyone. That would mean roughly 7130 offers of admission compared to the (roughly) 6000 this year if they were expecting typical yields. This is probably going to lead to too many people yielding, the less competitive an admitted student is the more likely he goes to UVA, so the 7130 offers is still a bit high. But there is no real way to guage it.
Next year is going to be a real crapshoot.</p>
<p>I agree. Like I said, I feel bad for adcoms now, espeically at UVA. They're going to be flooded with applications, and they'll have to not only watch the admission rate, but also worry about yield rates, all while trying to make the General Assembly happy and keeping the ratios. I have a feeling that this year's huge waitlist is their "practice run". They can still admit the same number of kids next year, but again, have a huge waitlist, and that'll fix everything. Yield rates is sort of out of their hands, but they can atleast keep the admission rate down while filling the IS/OOS ratio.</p>
<p>with any luck the school will under enroll 1 year so theres some less stress on facilities.</p>