Wesleyan early decision chances

I am a white female from a rural town in central Vermont. I go to a progressive boarding school in southern Vermont. Wondering what my chances are for early decision-Wesleyan.

-I went to a public high school for 2.5 years in my hometown. My weighted GPA there was 3.9. I’m too lazy to figure out my unweighted GPA. I did have a mix of A’s and B’s, leaning more towards A’s and recognize this is my weak part of the application.

  • I took 5 AP courses at my public school and was selected to be a peer counselor for two years there. I also made varsity soccer and lacrosse as a freshman.
    -My junior year, I attended an art semester school, where I continued to take academic classes. This was my first introduction to a progressive education style, and I received a 4.0 that semester. I returned to my public high school in the Spring and applied to a few boarding schools hoping to repeat a year before college. I wanted to strengthen my art portfolio and take advantage of the opportunities a boarding school offers before applying to college.
    -I live in a cabin on the campus of my school with no electricity, heat, or running water, and I am responsible for keeping it heating using a wood stove in the Vermont winter.
    -I have a strong art portfolio
    -I am a member of the admissions committee at my high school. I read the applications of prospective students and have an equal say alongside adult members on admitted students.
    -I have great relationships with my teachers writing my letters of rec
    -I do very well during interviews
    -My current GPA (for the two years I’ve been at my boarding school) is almost a 4.0 unweighted. There are no AP or honors classes here.
    -My common app essay is on a unique topic, and all of my teachers who read it think it will stand out.

I’m worried I will not be submitting test scores (was not able to take the SAT more than once due to COVID), and my transcripts at my public school will weigh me down, and I don’t want to apply somewhere ED that’s an impossible reach!

This is going to be a difficult year in which to make predictions. Almost every super selective college will have an over-hang of 5-10% of their official enrollment potentially choosing to return to campus from either gap years or remote learning. The proportions are even higher for last year’s first-year class.

Normally speaking, Wesleyan looks to fill a certain number of ED spaces for 1) athletes, 2) STEM majors and, 3) high-scoring children of alumni. For everyone else, it’s a crap shoot.

Hope this helps.