What are my chances? (3.8 unweighted GPA, 4.4 weighted GPA, hoping for 1400+ SAT)

EXTRACURRICULARS AND OTHER IMPORTANT STUFF
GPA: 4.4
SAT: Hoping for 1400+
Marching Band VARSITY (10TH-12TH) (Done band all 4 years)
-Section Leader (11TH-12TH)
Concert Band (Symphonic Winds)
-Solo Festival (2 Years - Superior (10TH), Excellent (11TH)
-CBU Festival (EXCELLENT - 10TH)
Track & Field VARSITY (12TH) (Been in team all 4 years)
-100M (9TH-11TH)
-200M (9TH-11TH)
-4x100M (10TH-11TH)
-Throws (Shot Put & Discus) (11TH-12TH)
Science Olympiad (11-12TH)
-President (Founder)
Chemistry Olympiad (11TH)
STEM
-Science Fair (2ND PLACE MICROBIOLOGY- District Level) (Went to district twice) (9TH-10TH)
-Science Fair Mentor(Junior)
-STEM Ambassador: Event Committee (12TH)
CSF (11TH-12TH)
Kaiser Hospital Volunteering (Summer) (10TH-12TH)
-100+ hours
Principal Advisory Committee (11TH)
Involved in my church

Colleges I’m looking to apply:
UCLA
USC
John Hopkins
Stanford
UPenn
Cornell
UC Davis
UC San Diego
UC Riverside
UC Irvine

Not sure anyone can really chance UCs anymore. Also, big difference between a 1400 and a 1500+, so your SAT will matter a lot. At 1400 I imagine you can rule out Stanford, JHU, Penn, Cornell UCLA. At 1500 anything can happen but no guarantees. What is your target major? Direct to major admits in UCs are also a big challenge on top of just getting in. I would advise you to find a also consider adding a safety or two. No UC is a safety except UC Merced.

What is your UC GPA? https://rogerhub.com/gpa-calculator-uc/

What is your unweighted GPA, core courses only?

Here is some UC statistical data based on the capped weighted UC GPA. Your intended major will have an impact on your chances also for these schools.

2018 Freshman admit rates for UC GPA of 3.80-4.19 capped weighted and not major specific:

UCB: 10%
UCLA: 9%
UCSD: 34%
UCSB: 38%
UCD: 41%
UCI: 38%
UCSC: 70%
UCR: 84%
UCM: 95%

2018 Freshman admit rates for UC GPA of 4.20 or above capped weighted and not major specific:

UCB: 37%
UCLA: 41%
UCSD: 70%
UCSB: 80%
UCD: 89%
UCI: 75%
UCSC: 92%
UCR: 96%
UCM: 98%

2018 UC capped weighted GPA averages:
UCB: 4.23
UCLA: 4.23
UCSD: 4.16
UCSB: 4.13
UCI: 4.13
UCD: 4.11
UCSC: 3.96
UCR: 3.81
UCM: 3.71

2018 Data:
25th - 75th percentiles for SAT:

UCB: 1360-1540

UCLA: 1340-1540
UCSD: 1300-1520
UCSB: 1270-1500
UCD: 1220-1480
UCI: 1230-1490
UCSC: 1210-1450
UCR: 1130-1380
UCM: 1020-1280