What are my Chances of getting into UC Riverside & UC Merced with my current stats?

What are my chances of getting in UC Riverside and UC Merced.

GPAS:
9-12: 2.65
10-12: 3

SAT: 1625
ACT: 20

Classes throughout HS (College Prep Classes)

9th:
English1H - failed, (planning to retake during summer but not honors)
Spanish 1P - D for 2 semesters (Got an A for both semesters 10th grade year)
Algebra 1- B and C
Biology - B for both semesters
Vietnamese / American Hist - C ( one semester only )

10th:
English 2P- B both
Spanish 1 - A both
Geometry - C both

11th: ( First Semester completed; 2nd in progress)
Chemistry - C
US History- A
Algebra 2- C
English 3P - A
Spanish 2 - A

12th: (Classes Planned to Take)
Physics
Pre-Calculus
Spanish 3
Photography P
British Lit Honors P
AP Civics/Econ

Summer Planned Classes:
Trig/Stats P- ONLINE
English 1 P - Summerschool class

Extracirr. Activities:

  • Environmental Club
  • Volunteering at Festivals / Soup Kitchens
  • Ethnic Clubs ( Korean Club )

It’s a gamble, can’t say for sure. Your SAT looks fine but GPA and ECs are low. UC Riverside would be a high match for you, whereas Merced a match! Best of luck anyway, mate,hope you get in.

I hope i am wrong but, I don’t think either is likely. GPA and SAT are below par. Hopefully you applied elsewhere.
Good luck.

You need a minimum UC GPA of 3.0 to be eligible to apply. What is your UC GPA?
http://rogerhub.com/gpa-calculator-uc/

Both schools are going to be reaches. Look at some the Cal states instead.