What constitutes a safety school for me?

<p>I'm wondering what are 'safe' bets for me as a transfer >50% odds as I'll only apply to 2 such schools then go for reaches. Trying to keep the list ~8 max...safety advice/suggestions are appreciated.</p>

<p>Definite: Brown, Georgetown, Vanderbilt(likely in?), UNC (safety?), UPenn-LPS</p>

<p>Maybe: Cornell, Johns Hopkins, Northwestern, U-Miami, Michigan, Rice, UVA, USC-Trojans, Stanford, Yale</p>

<p>Stats: Non-Trad 25, SC resident, Hispanic male
College: CC(fresh) transferred->College of Charleston(soph)
College GPA: 47 credits 4.0 cum through this fall - (doing pre-med requirements right now @ CofC - bio/chem/physics/calculus 4.0 fall)
HS GPA: 3.3
SAT: Math-710 Verbal-630</p>

<p>Me: took a 9 month trial-contract with a professional soccer team in Spain right after HS, didn't cut it and moved back to the US playing lower level professional soccer for a few years (USL-think A/AA baseball), got something like 13 varsity letters and was an all-state soccer player back in HS, realized I wasn't good enough to make it to the big time so joined the Air Force reserves to pay tuition (spent a year away @ basic/tech school - graduated w/honors 99% testing/99% fitness of all graduates) and here I am...</p>

<p>current ECs: research in a marine bio lab looking to be published some time late 2013, volunteer at a low income health clinic, monthly AF drill weekends, club soccer</p>

<p>reason for transferring: the state cut the scholarship funding promised to Military personnel so I'm out 9k a year in scholarships looking fwd...</p>