<p>Someone mentioned that the school received close to 30,000 applications this year. That number is absolutely astonishing.</p>
<p>Yes, I also heard UChicago received over 30,000 applications, and they are expecting 9.5~10% acceptance rate overall this year.</p>
<p>10% of 30,000 with a yield which should definitely pass the 47% it was at last year, and you’re looking at 1500 students for the class of 2017!</p>
<p>Even though there have been class sizes of 1540 or something each of the past two years, the target class size was, and still is, 1400. The target size of 1400 is an official number.</p>
<p>I am curious to know if the target size of Class of 2017 is still 1400. If that’s the case, the total admit rate will be closer to 9% than 10%. </p>
<p>Here’s my rough calculation:</p>
<p>Let’s say the total number of applications is closer to 31,000 than 30,000 and the yield is estimated to be 49% (with all the positive publicity working for The University, it’s reasonable to assume the yield is going to be slightly higher than that of last year), total admits should be around 2,857 (1400/49%).</p>
<p>2,857 / 31,000 = 9.22%</p>
<p>If the number of total app is 30,500 instead of 31K, using the same yield of 49% with the same target size of 1400, the admit rate will be 9.37%. </p>
<p>At the end, no matter how the exact numbers turn out, the admit rate is going to go down and the yield is going to go up which will drive even more applications for the Class of 2018 and on it goes this phenomenon for the next several years.</p>
<p>~Just my 2 cents.</p>
<p>I think the yield rate this year will be around 52%. Due to Chicago’s rise from a 5-way tie for #5 to a 2-way tie for #4, yield among Asians should rise by 10%-ish. That along with a rise in reputation across the board should push Chicago up past the 50% mark.</p>
<p>Also, more ED acceptances by UChicago’s peers (UPenn, Dartmouth, etc.) and lower-peers (Northwestern, etc.) will mean that Chicago will have less competition for yield during the RD round.</p>
<p>@Phuriku:</p>
<p>52% yield? Wow, that will be awesome. Let’s play with that number; target class size of 1,400 with total applications of around 31,000 at a yield of 52% (total admitted applicants = 2,692) which means that the admit rate is going to be 8.68%</p>
<p>It sounds remarkable but totally plausible indeed.</p>
<p>Last year’s yield was like 46% ish or something. Although the yield may very well be 52%, I don’t think they will expect another huge increase of 6% again. It’s quite drastic. Personally, I would estimate a yield of 49% or so. Although phuriku does have a lot of good points.</p>
<p>Also, with the demolition of a residence hall and adding more undergrad spaces in other residence halls, they will probably be even more cautious is admitting too many students, so I guess they may very well aim for a yield % of 52. Whatever the admissions staff aim for, acceptance rate will probably be from 9 to 10%. Quite possible 8.something.</p>
<p>Good luck 2017’ers!</p>
<p>I also heard there are some gap year students coming to join the class 2017, which would already fill up some spaces in the target size.</p>
<p>I actually agree with you, sa0209, that it’s most rational to expect around a 49% yield. And that’s exactly what I think the admissions office will do. So I think the admission rate will come in at a little under 10%, with a little under 3,000 students admitted.</p>
<p>However, I think yield will be a surprise this year as well, and result in another extreme over-enrollment of housing. I also think that after this year, yield will stagnate for a few years around the slightly-above-50% marker.</p>
<p>Just a prediction. We’ll just have to wait and see if I’m on track or not.</p>
<p>Can’t wait to see what the numbers are like!</p>
<p>^^kenyanpride is a Duke ■■■■■ who is only interested in Chicago applications numbers to find something wrong with it.</p>
<p>Gravitas2… can you at least wait until kenyanpride does something egregious on a specific thread before making your own inflammatory ■■■■■ comment?</p>
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<p>He has done so quite a few times on this board already. Thank you gravitas2 for pointing that out.</p>
<p>So far not on this thread… so derailing this thread with ■■■■■ accusations is not very useful to the rest of us who might actually be interested in the topic.</p>
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<p>Do you think the admissions office will finally make good use of its waitlist this year (instead of over admittance)? It didn’t seem to know how to use the waitlist feature in past admissions cycles.</p>
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<p>Thanks to gravitas2 for pointing that out.</p>
<p>@Poplica. You are welcome. As to the application numbers in the future…it may be approaching a certain limit due to the fact that Chicago does not have a “real” engineering program. I understand it is trying to start a molecular engineering in the future…but it is not the kind of applied engineering that other schools have. As you know many of the brightest students in the country/world want to become engineers…with Chicago not having one is an Achilles heel. We are locking out many of the brightest students (i.e. Asians) from applying. But, I wouldn’t change Chicago for that necessarily…similar to Caltech having a certain limit due to what it focuses on.</p>