<p>Apps skyrocket 20%. UChicago may have a 9.2% acceptance rate this year, assuming a 50% yield. (2800/30369)</p>
<p>9.8% acceptance rate assuming a 47% yield. (3000/30369)</p>
<p>More</a> than 30,000 prospective College students apply to UChicago | UChicago News</p>
<p>By comparison, Yale received 29,790 apps. This is the first time UChicago received more apps than Yale in history.</p>
<p>Approximate UChicago acceptance rate over the past few years:</p>
<p>26.8%, Class of 2013
18.8%, Class of 2014
16.2%, Class of 2015
13.3%, Class of 2016
9.3%, Class of 2017</p>
<p>Its inconceivable that UChicago’s acceptance rate will drop that much because they will seek to enroll upwards of 1,500 freshman and the yield will drop to 45% or so most likely since there will be more cross admits with HYPSM, Dartmouth, Columbia, Penn, Duke, etc.</p>
<p>Its clear that there is a lot more overlap between Chicago and the other top national private universities now in terms of number of applications than ever before. A decrease is self-selection tends to lower the yield rate.
I predict an acceptance rate of about 11%.</p>
<p>Goldenboy:</p>
<p>Why would UChicago shoot for 1500 students? It has around 1500 in the current overenrolled freshmen class, and the administration has openly stated the target is 1400 students a year. Do you know otherwise?</p>
<p>Being conservative, and assuming yield fluctuates and could drop from last year’s 47%, lets say UChicago has 45% yield this year, and wants 1400 students - and also doesn’t want the overenrollment headache of last year. That means admitting about 3100 students, for an overall admit rate of 10.2%.</p>
<p>Either way, looks like the admit rate will probably hover around 10% - lower than Penn or Duke, probably a little higher than Brown or Columbia. Probably have some satisfied administrators at UChicago today.</p>
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</p>
<p>Cue7 is correct. The College is overenrolled right now. Class of 2016 alone was overenrolled by about 125 students. The target size has been 1400 students for many a year now. Pierce residential hall will be shut down over the summer. An admissions officer said that they are expecting anywhere between 9 and 10%.</p>
<p>The official target size for the class is 1400. They are going to be under pressure to keep it close because they are taking Pierce dormitory out of service this year. They are tearing it down to build a new dorm. This will place a huge pressure on the rest of the house system. They have to hope there won’t be another unexpectedly large jump in yield. My predictions of UChicago’s rise, by the way, have always underestimated UChicago’s actual performance. Your predictions of UChicago’s drop have always also underestimated UChicago–whether in rankings, applications, or admit rate. Sort of like the Republican pundits claiming there was no way Obama could win the election, except for that little reality check when it happened. You claimed, for instance, that UChicago would drop this year in the U.S. News ranking–but it jumped–and thus it received another enormous boost in apps–and its yield will stay strong or grow. It’s a matter of math and human psychology which many doubting Thomases don’t get. And wait until NEXT year!</p>
<p>While I caution against focusing on selectivity (particularly admissions rates), it is a popular, albeit meaningless, measure many high school students use to gauge prestige. A high school student bluntly told me so.</p>
<p>[Back</a> to the future | The University of Chicago Magazine](<a href=“http://mag.uchicago.edu/university-news/back-future]Back”>Back to the future | The University of Chicago Magazine)</p>
<p>"Boyer doesn’t foresee the enrollment getting much larger—in part, he says, because campus housing is inadequate even for the current number.</p>
<p>He believes two new residence halls, including one to replace Pierce Tower, are essential to the future of the College. He’s so strong an advocate that some considered Boyer a suspect in last winter’s Pierce plumbing problems that included water outages and exploding toilets. ‘I have been accused of actually going over with a monkey wrench and causing it,’ he says with a smile. ‘I want to say: I officially deny that.’"</p>
<p>As I predicted that Chicago would be ranked #4 in August 2012 before US News came out with its annual rankings as my very first post, I will go out on an educated limb again and predict that the acceptance rate will be 9.2-9.5% this academic year. With the college over-subscribed last few years and with the demolition of Pierce Tower dormitory…the administration will be very careful to admit a smaller number of students to have about 1400 matriculating next academic year and utilize the waiting list more robustly and effectively than ever before. The administration is keenly aware that students and parents pay more attention to “acceptance rates” as a sign of exclusivity thus “prestige” more than anything…unfortunately…for better or worse…that is how educational institutions from preschool to high school to colleges are perceived. Yield rate is MORE dependent on acceptance rate than the other way around.</p>
<p>Enrollment vs admission are two different set of numbers.</p>
<p>Last year numbers</p>
<p>Number of Applicants 25,268
Number Accepted 3,340
Number Enrolled 1,527</p>
<p>The yield does not automatically go up because the number of applicants went up. They would need to play with admissions to see how many they are willing to enroll and assume a yield similar to last year. They can’t drop admissions to 2800 and assume 1400 will show up. They can always play the waitlist game that other colleges do in order to show better yield numbers.</p>
<p>With a number of applications this large, will UChicago need to keep advertising so heavily? It seems that they have reached a “critical mass” of people interested in the school that will ensure future popularity.</p>
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</p>
<p>They accepted 3,340 students last year for a class of 1527. They overenrolled Class of 2016 alone by 127 students, since the target class size has been 1,400 for quite a few years already.</p>
<p>According to Michelle Hernandez, UChicago accepted this many students for the past few years:</p>
<p>[Ivy</a> League Admission Statistics for Class of 2016 - Hernandez College Consulting, Inc. and Ivy League Admission Help](<a href=“http://www.hernandezcollegeconsulting.com/ivy-league-admissions-statistics-overall-2016/]Ivy”>http://www.hernandezcollegeconsulting.com/ivy-league-admissions-statistics-overall-2016/)</p>
<p>3639, Class of 2014
3539, Class of 2015
3340, Class of 2016
?, Class of 2017</p>
<p>If they accept 3,100 this year and the yield is 47%, they would end up with 1,457 students, but their goal is 1,400, so they will have to accept fewer.</p>
<p>Even 3,100 would put the admit rate at 10.2%.</p>
<p>Last year, applications rose 16.2% and UChicago’s yield rate rose 6 percentage points, from 40% to 46% (a 20% increase.) This year apps rose 20%. What will the yield rate be? Good luck guessing that one. But given UChicago’s jump in the rankings this year…</p>
<p>What UChicago is doing is unprecedented. No school has ever risen in popularity this quickly. It took Harvard and Stanford 25 years for their admit rates to drop from 20% to 10%. UChicago did it in 4 years. It’s a whole different world these days because of the rankings and instantaneous transmittal of information on the internet. It doesn’t take years for reputation to grow; it happens overnight.</p>
<p>Regardless it’s going to be a record year with a big drop in admit rate. And that raises the interesting question of how much further it will drop NEXT year.</p>
<p>Marketing needs to be kept up so that The University of Chicago, UChicago, U of Chicago or Chicago would become a household name. As we all know The University has always been able to keep the academic end of the spectrum strong regardless of their perceived popularity or dare I say, prestige, over the history. What they need now is just to let the general public know about their strength and their name. Nothing more; nothing less.</p>
<p>“Its inconceivable that UChicago’s acceptance rate will drop that much because they will seek to enroll upwards of 1,500 freshman and the yield will drop to 45% or so most likely since there will be more cross admits with HYPSM, Dartmouth, Columbia, Penn, Duke, etc.”</p>
<p>Chicago awards merit aid ranging from $5,000 to a full ride. No Ivy awards merit aid. Indeed, it could be seen as violation of Ivy recruiting rules. If a cross-admit is awarded merit aid of any kind from Chicago, it’s likely he’ll choose Chicago. Why Chicago is doing this and how it has the needed money remain unclear. Merit aid is nothing other than bribery.</p>
<p>3639, Class of 2014
3539, Class of 2015
3340, Class of 2016</p>
<p>This trend makes sense. How many enrolled in each of those years?</p>
<p>As mentioned in several posts above, University of Chicago is trying to build up its prestige, as seen in its rising USNEWS rank, active admission campaign, decreasing acceptance rate, and the new scholarship initiatives.</p>
<p>
So, the fact that UChicago’s applications rose 20% again this year is proof that they’ve plateaued? What?</p>
<p>
Indeed, it remains unclear how they’re getting the money. That is, until you Google “UChicago merit aid” and look at the first result which states:</p>
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<p>Where did you find out the total number of apps?</p>
<p>It goes without saying that the School of Business receiving $300 million from Mr. Booth frees a lot of other moneys.</p>