You just never know. Not that long ago, the USC yield rate was routinely 33-34%. It then jumped up to 41.9% last year. Even so, they still bumped many from Spring to Fall.
2020 is a very strange year. With COVID-19 as a continuing issue to date, many may opt to stay closer to home. Many international students may have to rethink their plans too. No one really knows yet what may occur or how the admits will make their commitment decisions.
The 9500 or so admits could include the Spring admits too. And if so, they did not break down the #s between Fall and Spring. But it is not coincidental in terms of the new total # of admits. They are aiming for a freshman class of 3100. And that happens to be 33% of 9500. So, they are clearly expecting a return to their prior yield rate of circa 33% vs last year’s of almost 42%.
The cruel reality is that 58-67% of those who were initially excited to be admitted to USC will now elect to attend elsewhere. Some will select what they perceive is a better option for them, but many will feel compelled to look elsewhere simply because attending USC may not be financially feasible given their family finances. In the case of Spring admits, I guess that many of you simply have to pull for that percentage being higher versus lower.