@dstark She did get a spot, and sadly that school, which was 7th on her list of UC schools (and she only applied to because I made her, since I had a feeling UC engineering was going to be a bit unpredictable) is not appealing to her for a number of reason, both personal and academic.
And I can understand the idea of “hey, you got a spot, be happy.” But I think an honest broker can also under the 17 -18 year old’s POV, which is - I worked my butt off. I skipped parties and stayed up late nights and worked over vacation so that I could be a top9% Cali student. And the bargain that was explicit was only that I would get “a” UC, but the bargain that was implied (and often pretty clearly expressed) was that if you are a capable girl into engineering who works your tail off and gets good grades and good test scores, and has good ECs, there will be a good slot at a top university waiting for you.
And to her (and, in most cases, her peers - and also by the stats) UCSC is #7 on the UC list. So to her she is a top 10% student who has been offered (by the UC’s) a 50% school. (I realize this is a simplistic and perhaps shallow way to look at it, and I don’t agree with seeing it this way, but I can also tell you she is not the only one who breaks it down that simplistically.)
And when you add to the equation that other, OOS or privates that are “Top 10%” schools not only offered her slots, but also are in the process of very aggressively courting her, and add to that the fact that few if any of her friends and classmates are going to go to UCSC but a decent number will be going to the other colleges after her, and you end up with a difficult situation for a kid to understand.
And again, I am 100% certain that there are OOS and International students who got into every one of the other UCs with lower stats than her. And that is a bit hard to swallow as a family that has paid +/-30 years of CA income taxes x2.
And even worse, I think it is a form of mortgaging the state’s (and UC’s) future. OOS and international students are not going to support the UC system past the 4 or 5 years they spend here. A small few might relocate, but most will go off somewhere else. The more CA citizens the UCs alienate by denying them more “prestigious” majors and schools, however, the more that feel, like me, “what’s the point?” We will not support further tax increases for the UCs because we have come to see the game is rigged.
Right now, Merced has a very low OOS (0.4%) and Foreign (0.6%) SIR. Riverside is a better (1%/3%), Santa Cruz and SB is decent (approx 7%/10% each). Irvine, Davis, SD are middle-ground: (approx 7%/20+%). UCLA and Berkeley higher.
But given that UCD, UCI, UCSC and UCSB only admit about 50-60% of their OOS and International applicants, they could easily take up some of the financial slack that limiting UCLA and UCB OOS/International admits might cause.
My in-the-head addition puts the number of OOS/International students not accepted at UCM, UCR, UCSC, UCD, UCI and UCSB at about 45-50K. Even assuming there is some double-applications there, if it is only 20k unique applications and 10% SIR, you can drop 2000 OOS/International students out of your UCB/UCLA/UCSD engineering admits tomorrow - without affecting the overall UC budget a bit. With a bit more work, I bet you could easily double that number. It would both improve the UC with the increased admits - more OOS/International exposure, more applicants etc. - and give more CA taxpaying students access to the more “brand name” schools we have all funded for so many years.
It would not be hard to write an program that would tell the UCs just how many extra OOS/International students they would have to admit to yield X number we could then cut out of UCB/UCLA/UCSD OOs/International engineering students. If we are going to dumb-down the standards for OOS/International, why do it at our “flagship” schools?