<p>@basketweaver well. I think you win. You are insane. You are just. how? how’d you do it? Everybody who wants to know the acceptance/reject list…look at what basketweaver’s post. He is 100% accurate. Well done sir. Well done. BTW, he went to Berkeley since his parents wanted him to. I know…sucks.
I’ll be keeping an eye out on you whenever I decide to do a Chance Me. Most reliable chance-er right here. (though you arrived at your conclusion through analysis and not really through the stats). But none the less. Next time I do a chance me…I know who to expect a decent reply from.
Thanks to you I won the bet (5 dollars woot)
Props to Skyrior for getting close.</p>
<p>Anyways…this comes to show that colleges have really random application processes. So if my friend can get into NW and Columbia with a decent GPA and ACT…so can you. There’s still hope! Also shows that CC chance mes’ are fairly inaccurate when it comes to top school predictions…with some special exceptions.
Doesn’t mean I won’t be doing anymore Chance mes. xD Just for nerve calmers.</p>
<p>So an ACT of 35 is very strong, equivalent to about a 2330 SAT. But 6 AP classes and < 3.8 UW GPA is pretty low. I never would have guessed Columbia or NU. I also thought Berkeley would have been “no” because that GPA weighted doesn’t seem like a top 10% of class, and I thought that was pretyt much required in-state. I would say your friend got lucky or there is something subtle missing. Or maybe the competitiveness of the schools comes into play more than I thought. Where did he go and what did he study?</p>
<p>I agree the GPA is solid at a competitive school, but 6 APs seems low for that acceptance list. My son took 11 APs with > 3.8 GPA UW, and I’ll be pleased if he gets into half those non-UC schools …</p>
<p>@Daddio3 There’s a point where the amount of APs you take does not matter anymore. 6 or 11…just as long as colleges see you’re challenging yourself. My sister took 2 APs in her Junior year and 3 in her Senior year. She still got into Stanford.</p>
<p>Yay. Now I know my gut is good at chancing. Anyways, like tguan916 said, I used normal chancing methods/the friends’ stats and reasoning/psychology to come to my guess, so I’m really not psychic or a good chancer.</p>
<p>Chances are good for getting a rough idea of where you stand. Or for fun, if you’ve been a long time member of CC and a commenter/lurker on the chances forum. But they’re quite often inaccurate, as out of the 12-ish replies on this thread only one was correct.</p>
<p>Apologies to people who asked me for chances. In mid-January I decided I would not chance people any more, or at least not for a while. Trying to play admissions committee is kind of scary and a bit overwhelming (what if my suggestions actually dissuaded someone from applying, someone who the admissions committee might have seen something in that I missed? or what if I instill false hope in an candidate, and they end up like andison?) because people actually take their chancers very seriously. Also whenever I see egotistical people, students who are sophomores or younger, or trolls ask for chances/reply on these forums, I get annoyed. I might start chancing people again someday, but for now…no, sorry.</p>
(5 dollars woot)