weighted UC GPA: 3.88
weighted school GPA: 4.14 (i took a lot of honors classes but I’m out-of-state)
ACT: 33
SAT II Math 2: 700
2 APs in Junior year (AP psych 5, APUSH 3)
Your UC GPA puts you below the average for UCSD but your ACT is on target. Your HS course rigor is a bit lacking but since you are OOS and a full pay applicant ($65K/year to attend with no financial aid) then you might have a slightly higher chance. I would say at least a 50/50 chance.
Freshman admit rates for UC GPA of 3.80-4.19 (capped weighted) and not major specific:
Your personal statements are very important. Last year many high-achieving students did not get into UCSD because of their statements.
I got into UCSD with a 3.7, 1010 SAT, 22 ACT (very low) but extraordinary personal statements and amazing extracurriculars. And a full ride. And a capped major (Neurobiology, 1st choice)