Chance an OOS student?

OOS, applying from one of the best public schools in my state.
UC GPA: 3.68 (I think - not sure if I am counting the extra weight from honors/AP courses correctly), my school GPA is 3.79 W but I’m not sure that that’s relevant. Class ranks aren’t given.
SAT: 2150 (780 W, 590 M, 780 CR)
Major: Psychology
2 APs, English and Psychology. Scored a 5 on Psych AP exam.
First essay was very strong, second one a little less so but, I think, still a solid essay. My downfall is probably my ECs. I haven’t done nearly as many as I should’ve aside from two or three volunteering opportunities, one school club (Women’s Rights) and a summer course at NYU.

Edit: Having recalculated my UC GPA and counting not only APs that I took but honors courses, my UC GPA is a 3.89. I’m still not totally sure which one is correct, though.

You can only use AP classes for the extra honors points as an OOS applicant.
UCSB: High Match/Low Reach depending upon on your correct UC GPA