Chance for EA 2016?

I’m a current junior who will be applying to UGA this coming up fall. I was wondering what my chances would be Early Action, and if I get deferred, what would my chances be regular decision? I’m not sure if it is too far in advance to tell what the early action acceptance rate will be, but any help is appreciated! Here are my stats:
In-State white male from family with $100k+ yearly who went to Emory and FSU.
3.88 UW GPA
4.06 W
(^so long as my grades go as planned at the end of junior year)
2010 SAT: 710R, 630M, 670W. (I know my math grade is low, but expect it go up at least 50 points after my 2nd test on the 20th.)
Will have 6 APs by the end of senior year (Junior year: Stat, Lang, Env Science. Senior year: Comp Sci, Comparative Gov, Calc AB. (I know my classes that I took aren’t the most rigorous, but 90% of my other classes have been honors/accelerated and not many APs were offered for freshman and sophomores.)
Extracurriculars: JV Soccer freshman year (played club soccer all my life, but quit after freshman year, I now rock climb in my free time), TSA Sophomore year (was state finalist in architectural design competition), Beta club freshman and sophomore year, Model UN Freshman year (competed at GA State and Tech). Will do cross country senior year, hope to make varsity, and will be NHS when the time comes to apply. Also participated in a few smaller, less reputable, fun clubs but had no leadership positions. Had a job reffing kids soccer, am going on a month long NOLS trip, and will expect to have another job this upcoming summer.
I also have a chronic illness that effected my athletics and grades if that helps in the “overcoming adversity” category.
I consider myself a pretty decent writer, so I’m expecting my essay to be above average.

My accumulative average on my transcript for is 94.33 for all semesters except 2nd junior semester, if that helps at all.
Also, my major is undecided, but will probably start out as Political Science.
Here’s a pretty lengthy description of me, lol.
Any input/advice/predictions is much appreciated!

I’m referring to class of 2021, and the decisions regarding the 2017 fall semester, where the applications will be submitted in 2016, if that was unclear.

If you apply EA your ECs aren’t considered. Only grades, standardised test scores and course rigour is consider. I think you have a pretty good chance of getting in EA. If not, you’ll get deferred and will then get in RD if your essay and recommendations are good. Either way i think you have a high chance of getting in