Chance me for Dartmouth, Duke, Vandy, Swarthmore

Hey guys, I’m a high school senior and my top choices are Dartmouth, Duke, Vandy and Swarthmore.

My GPA from my 1st three years is a 3.95 uw, 4.7 weighted.
SAT: 770 CR, 780 M, 760 W, total 2310

Subject Tests: 740 Bio M, 740 U.S. History.

APs:
9th grade: World history (5)
10th grade: Euro history (5), Psych (5)
11th grade: Microecon (5), Bio (5), Calc AB (5), U.S. History (5), English Lang (4)
My first three years I took those classes in addition to the required honors classes, one or two electives, and a few study halls.
My senior course load is AP gov, AP French, AP lit, AP calc bc, AP physics 1, AP stats, and MacroEcon at a community college. I know I have a great essay and recommendations. The part of my application I’m worried about is extracurriculars:

Varsity swimming, 4 years - regionals 10th grade, states junior year
Varsity scholastic bowl, 3 years - captain this year, my senior year
Varsity tennis - 3 years including this year
Key club: 4 years, about 80 hours of service total my first three years.

40 hours of habitat for humanity volunteering summer before my junior year.

450 + hours of work as a lifeguard. I started late August right before my junior year and worked through the school year (at an indoor pool) and all through this past summer.
I have all the standard honor societies and school awards also. Anyway what are my chances for these schools? I also really like Colgate, Davidson and W&L all of which I’m pretty sure I have a good chance of getting into. I just feel like my ECs might be a limiting factor and make it kind of unrealistic to apply to DUke/dartmouth/vandy/swarthmore since those are kind of a tier up from gate, davidson and w&l. Thanks!