Chance me kinesiology

My D has applied for ED for Fall 2016. Using info from other posts, I calculated her MCA score as 4,649. I didn’t realize how competitive Kinesiology is. Based on last year’s numbers, it looks like the expected acceptance rate would be about 15%, but I have no sense of the quality of the applicant pool. An honest assessment of her chances via ED and RD would be appreciated.

I believe she has a good chance of getting accepted ED. Her MCA scores seems to be competitive, but there is no way to know the other applicants MCA scores who are applying.