Chance me MATH major at UT Austin

My son is a rising senior. Texas Resident.
His rank in class is 12%. SAT 1530 (Math:790, Language:740).
His first choice major would be mathematics.
His math related grades (geometry, precal, on-ramp stat, calBC, ap physics) are all As;
APs - expecting 5 in Cal BC, 5 in Stats, 4 in AP Physics; AIME qualified;
UIL math; extra-curriculars and club related to math, selective math summer camp this summer; DECA state finalist.

Appreciate inputs on his chances… anyone this year got admitted with similar profile.

It’s hard to know because they don’t show class rank in the CDS. They’ve blanked it out.

But as he’s not auto admit, at best it’s a target and potentially a reach.

With respect to UT and mathematics, this sight may be of interest: