<p>You will definitely get deferred first, if they don't initially accept you (doubt it with your GPA though). They rarely reject anyone who is applying for the first time. </p>
<p>There are 2 different types of deferrals. 1) A letter stating that a decision will be made in mid-April and 2) A letter asking for your first semester grades. The first one means typically a waitlist. The second letter typically means an eventual acceptance, as long as you did decent senior year. </p>
<p>For option 1, if you get on the waitlist, you could actually get off of it. This year they accepted out-of-staters applying to LSA off the waitlist, something they didn't do in years.</p>
<p>However, I think they will "Option 2" you. Look up the name "HauckT". He had similar stats to you (high test scores, low GPA), and got in after they requested first semester grades. I think that's the route Michigan will go with you.</p>
<p>Good luck!</p>