Chances of getting into UCR and CSUN?

I applied to UC Riverside as an undergraduate for Public Policy and CSUN as a Political Science major. UCR is my top choice, but it’s the only school that offers my major for undergrads that is not USC, Brown, Stanford, etc, so I’m a little anxious. I also applied to CSULB and CSUF as a Political Science major, but got rejected from both schools. I know my GPA and SAT aren’t too great, but how slim are my chances? Thanks

UW GPA: 3
Weighted GPA: 3.4
SAT: 1430

(3 years) 2 academic clubs/electives, 1 leadership club, PR and Vice-President of leadership club
(4 years) 2 service clubs with approx 150+ hrs

Riverside is a low reach.

@spicypepperoni

Just to be clear, that is 1430/2400?

Since you have denials from CSULB and CSUF, UCR does not look possible. Your best bet would be CSUN.