<p>What the ****, how did they manage to find out online for Stanford already?</p>
<p>Well, the longer the wait, the sweeter the victory?</p>
<p>"Veni, Vici, Vedi"!</p>
<p>I feel tempted to answer what I got on that day with pure latin. ><</p>
<p>WHAT?
Was there hacking involved?</p>
<p>Those hackers. :/</p>
<p>Everyone seems to have ignored my oh-so-meticulous posting on the "Pledge to state stats thread", so I want to bring it up here. </p>
<p>Of all of us listed in the thread, some will definitely be admitted in Early Action (every year there is at least one CC'er, without fail.) Conversly, some of them will be rejected. There are 65 CC'ers currently listed.</p>
<p>If I assume that a 15% acceptance rate will be used (about 825 out of 5500),
65x0.15= 9.75 people, or approximately 10 will be ACCEPTED from the CC pool.</p>
<p>If we assume that a 20% rejection rate will be used (about 1100 out of 5500),
65x0.20=13, approximately 13 will be REJECTED.</p>
<p>If we assume that a 65% deferral rate will be used (about 3575 out of 5500),
65x0.65=42.25, or approximately 42 people will be DEFERRED.</p>
<p>I would really like to see how this probability holds up in CC. Our admit rate might be a little higher because CC'ers tend to be amazing, but the Yale dean of admissions did say that they've seen a rise in qualified applicants. That result might be a bigger deferral/rejection pool than we thought. :/</p>
<p>that was back when the list was 65 people long. Now it's 67..shouldn't be that much variation in the numbers, though. :P</p>
<p>The CC acceptance rate will probably be higher than the norm. I was going to address this. I can't believe that there's only going to be 10/65 acceptances from the stellar candidates on that list.</p>
<p>i think there's actually a good chance that scea decisions will come out on the 12th. it seems that for the past 3-4 years or so decisions have always come out online on a friday (i looked at past decisions threads). i also heard from other people who applied to different colleges that the actual date they found out about their acceptances was one or 2 days earlier than the official stated date. so...dunno :/</p>
<p>yeah, last year only one or two CCers got rejected...</p>
<p>^ hmm, that's interesting. i think i'll call on thursday to find out. i mean it makes sense that it comes out friday. why wait two extra days if you're not meeting during those days, other than to torture us?</p>
<p>i'll call on thursday and ask. i hope i don't get too pushy.</p>
<p>edit: omg, CC's time is sooo off</p>
<p>^ I will be one of them....</p>
<p>Hopefully not, though. How many were deferred?</p>
<p>Well, I guess rejection may be less, but that means more chance of a deferral, as well. :/</p>
<p>But asdf10101, that just shows that the results in
-2007=one day early
-2006=on time
-2005=a day LATE (arrrgghh!) ..?</p>
<p>So though I also would like to know this Friday, I doubt that we'll get results THREE days early. Pooh to us. D: oh well..</p>
<p>***Not all CCers post rejections. </p>
<p>What am I doing? I'm not even applying to Yale ...</p>
<p>Take the people that matriculated last year from your state, multiply by .44444.</p>
<p>This will give you a rough estimate of the number of people from your state who will get in SCEA.</p>
<p>^^^^^^^^^^ I assumed that there is 75% matriculation and that roughly 1/3 of total acceptances will come via SCEA.</p>
<p>^ I get a whopping 1.32 persons from 2008 data. Great. </p>
<p>3.08 if I go by the largest number (7 people in 2000) - I'm gonna hope (foolishly..) for a cycle more like 2000 for me, hahha</p>
<p>^ i thought it was more like 1/2 of the applicants getting admitted SCEA?
whatever the ratio is, it just scared the crap out of me...only 33 people getting in early from all of new jersey!?! crap crap crap and i thought i had a chance</p>
<p>sorry, repeat post</p>
<p>and woah, the timestamps are WAY off</p>
<p>1/2 of matriculations, but roughly 1/3 of applicants. (Which makes sense, SCEA have a higher matriculation rate then RD folks).</p>