don't ask chances on CC; ask about reactions and experiences

The people who mostly post on CC-- prospective students, current students, alumni, parents-- are not admission officers. They cannot give you an authoritative answer about your chances. You can make a guess based on statistics as well as they can. Check out the college’s Common Data Set to see admission stats or look for them a college guide book. But no one knows how an admissions office will react to your complete application. Instead, ask CC posters about their reactions to and experiences at a school. Then you can learn something subjective that is interesting. Reading many such perspectives may give you a ‘flavor’ for the school.