Everyone Has A 13% Chance Of Getting In!

<p>Look - everybody in this forum just has to take a deep breath and relax!</p>

<p>Forget about the stats, the ECs, the grades, the SATs, the APs - all of it. You’re all pretty much qualified, credible candidates. No one is posting stats that are laughable. And that’s the problem. Brown, like all the Ivies, are swamped with impressive cookie-cutter applications from very bright, very qualified, very busy, very stressed students this year. More applicants than ever before.</p>

<p>Problem is, there are only so many open spaces for freshmen. And that number doesn’t change.</p>

<p>So only 13% of you will get into Brown. 87% of you won’t. It really doesn’t matter if you were class President, or on three Varsity teams, or read to house bound elderly people. You all look the same on paper. What makes YOU stand out? Hopefully, you addressed that in your essay.</p>

<p>Good luck to you all. But remember this: at this point it’s more a matter of luck and the purely subjective response of your application reviewers on the day they see your materials. </p>

<p>Look at some great second tier schools. Most of you will wind up being happier on December 17 if you’re prepared for the disappointing news. </p>

<p>It’s not you - it’s the numbers.</p>

<p>that 13% acceptance rate is very skewed though. There are plenty of people with very very low chances of getting in that apply just for the sake of applying for example.</p>

<p>Your point is well taken, but those phishing applications are figured into the acceptance rate, which has actually gone down the past few years by about 2-3%.</p>

<p>It won't make a difference. I've been saying this on these boards for a long time. People still think other students telling them they have good resumes means that they'll have a better shot at getting in...</p>

<p>Thanks for posting. I wish people would realize this...</p>

<p>Though I am guilty of making a "Will I Get In" post. It was only once though...</p>

<p>like above what you say makes perfect sense
but yes i have made a "chances" post
its because waiting is the worst part</p>

<p>It's not that everyone actually values the completely conjectured and arbitrary opinions of members of CC who give their thoughts about whether or not they will be accepted...</p>

<p>I think it's just reassuring to have people see what you've done in high school and tell you that he/she is impressed by your stats, EC's, whatever. I know that no one (at least VERY few people) on this board is truly qualified to actually give me an accurate hypothesis about my chances of getting into college (an elite college especially), but no doubt most people feel the same way I do: I like other people being aware of my academic record and also having an idea of other people's academic/extracurriculars so I can personally see where I seem to stand in relation to other people who are applying to the same schools to which I am applying.</p>

<p>actually, no. you really cant look at the acceptance rate like that. if it were used like that, it would mean they put 100 applications in a bag, pick out 13, and reject the other 87. but they dont; instead, they accept the most qualified. and also, i'm most certain the collegeconfidential acceptance rate is much (35%+) higher than the national average.</p>

<p>Why Ignore Ants-- honestly, don't come onto message boards to feel better about your stats. Anonymous recognition in the truest form-- you don't know who's recognizing your accomplishment and they don't know you-- is all you'll receive. It's cheap and not as fulfilling as you may think.</p>

<p>People on these boards lose perspective too often. I am not sure if you all realize that you're dime-a-dozen at best. Honestly. I spent my evening next to a Harvard freshman already taking graduate courses in math in his first semester. I wasn't star struck, because honestly-- there are a ton of people out there like this that are completely humbling and beyond anything that I can wish to achieve. Maybe you're all stars in high school and you think if other high school stars vindicate you that it makes your accomplishments most real, but honestly, the people who are really going to wow you and make you look like a blithering fool aren't posting on this board-- but you will encounter them in college and in the world.</p>

<p>^^heh heh, point well taken. I'm sure the very top people have much better and more intellectual things to do than explore cc everyday. Ah well, I'm just crossing my fingers. no expectations one way or the other...</p>

<p>Why Ignore Ants - </p>

<p>People post stats. At Brown, it's really not about the stats, because virtually every applicant has got 'em. It's about the person behind the stats. If you can convey that......</p>

<p>(and hope you don't ignore ants marcing. Love that DMB.)</p>

<p>mmkay : yeah, that's right... haha, if you're on CC, that means you care, and that means you're probably above average already.</p>

<p>If you're applying to the Ivy League, or any of the elite institutions in this country, it means that you care and you're probably above average already.</p>

<p>According to Ivy-league acceptance threads from recent years, 40-60 percent of students on this website are accepted. So...there goes your theory.</p>

<p>Keep in mind that kids who get rejected are not as likely to post that on the Internet for everyone to see. . .</p>

<p>JYankees, you're scientific prowess in making statistically valid and meaningful conclusions on the cause and effect relationship of signing up for College Confidential's online message board and acceptance to the Ivy League is astounding. I'm going to make sure everyone's kids I know sign up!
</p>

<p>Let's run a chi square test on the data set to see if the results are due to chance!</p>

<p>Your methodology is flawed, because according to your logic, a peewee football team has a 50% chance of winning against the New England Patriots because there are only two possible outcomes.</p>

<p>That would mean we all have 50% chances as well.</p>

<p>Well...33.3% with deferment.</p>

<p>Well...25% with waitlisting.</p>

<p>-nbachris</p>

<p>yes two outcomes, but one outcome is more likely than the other</p>