<p>For the last time, WVU cannot get into the Big 10 because they lack the academic credentials. No non-AAU schools are going to get the invite (except MAYBE Notre Dame). I think that the most likely schools to get invited are Pittsburgh (extremely likely), Missouri (likely to get an invite at least), Rutgers (good chance), Syracuse (maybe), and Texas (Snowballs chance in hell of accepting but I’m sure the B10 will at least put out feelers.) </p>
<p>If the Big East is going to get hit at all then the state government of Pennsylvania is going to lean HEAVILY on PSU to get Pittsburgh into a legitimate conference. They fit the profile really well. While they don’t really open up any new markets for the B10 the logic of the move and PSU will probably see Pittsburgh in the B10 in the next few years.</p>
<p>Missouri fits the profile very well, already has big-time facilities and would open up more market for the B10. The question with them isn’t ‘does the B10 want to invite them?’, it’s ‘is the B10 willing to pay off the B12 to take them, and does Missouri want to go?’ I have no idea what the answer to either of those questions are.</p>
<p>I have a hunch that Rutgers will get considered, and probably invited. They were considered back in 1993 and haven’t gotten worse since then. They fit the profile, good market, it’d be a smart move for all parties involved (other than the deteriorating Big East.)</p>
<p>Syracuse could possibly happen, if other teams fall through. The B10 has a private school already, so that isn’t a non-started. Relatively low enrollment and a weird TV market (in NY but not NYC, so what’s that get you?) won’t help either. A good basketball program won’t hurt though.</p>
<p>Texas would be an absolute coup for the B10 to bring in. Fits the profile perfectly, has a huge national name, opens up a gigantic new market, etc. etc. But why would UT leave the B12, a conference that makes sense for them in every single way? Well, they wouldn’t. I’ll be absolutely stunned if they accepted a bid, but you know the B10 is going to be throwing everything they have at the pipe-dream of a major Texas school in the B10.</p>
<p>There are a couple other schools that could make sense for various reasons. Rice has money and market potential but is awful and doesn’t fit the profile at all. Tulane is in a similar boat but with less money. TAMU is basically in the same situation as UT, it’d be great for the B10 but why would they go? Maryland is an interesting choice, but I don’t think they’d leave the ACC. Nebraska is a possibility, basically in the same situation as Missouri.</p>
<p>And of course there is Notre Dame. They will be (and probably are semi annually) contacted about joining the B10. This next major shake-up could be huge, with the B10 and PAC 10 adding teams, the B12 replacing teams, the BE having a massive restructuring and adding football teams while spinning off basketball teams and the mid-majors getting jerked around to whomever will take them. If ND wants to be in a conference in the next couple decades this might be their last chance, because if the B10 expands to 14 I doubt they’ll further expand to 15 (or 16) for ND, and the BE could end up looking entirely different than it does now. If ND doesn’t want to take the chance of their football team being on the outside looking in and their other teams (ND is BE in everything but football) then now might be the time to pull the trigger.</p>
<p>Overall I think that some time in the next few (1-4) years the B10 will be come the Big 14. If the B12 is poached they’ll replace with mid-majors or possibly a BE team. If the BE is poached they’ll more or less be forced to finally spin off their absurd number of non-football teams and restructure, taking on several mid-majors and trying to keep their place at the table. The Pac-10 will probably become the Pac-12, and either the MWC or the WAC will cannibalize the other. The ACC will probably emerge unscathed, unless they decide (stupidly) to add a couple more teams, but I really don’t see that happening.</p>