For those of you who were chanced and heard back from the college...

Applying to College
1

<p>Were they accurate for you? I know it's all just a prediction from people just like you, but I was just wondering..</p>

2

<p>Be aware you’re going to get a very skewed response. The kind of person who stays on CC after (first) posting a “chance me” and (second) graduating from high school is not a typical “chance me” poster. Not better, not worse, just different. IMO</p>

3

<p>If you find an applicant from a previous year that was “chanced” accurately – meaning that posters thought they would get into their very top choice schools and they did-- then find out who chanced them and have them write a book. As far as I’m aware, no individual (and that includes famous people like Michele Hernadez who wrote “A is For Admission”) can predict with certainty who will get in where. That’s because so much of the college applications process is subjective and comes down to how an Admissions Director “feels” after reading your teacher recommendations and essays and compares them to all other applicants. And students (for good reason) don’t post their essays on chance threads or really know what their teachers honestly said about them. See: <a href=“Marymount California University's Admission Blog: When Recommendations Attack! (The Worst Letter of Recommendation We've Ever Seen)”>http://marymountcollegeadmissionblog.blogspot.com/2011/01/when-recommendations-attack-worst.html&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

4

<p>For most people it’s probably not going to be absolute. Just whether one has a good chance or not. Terms like “reach,” “target,” and “safety” will be used, maybe with descriptive words in front like “high-” or “low-.” Those will for the most part be accurate, as they are not absolute predictions, since nothing is absolute in college admissions.</p>

5

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<p>If an applicant has the stats for a college – meaning their test scores are somewhere between the 25th percentile and the 75th percentile of a school – then that student has a good chance. But, that’s not saying much as sometimes 50% to 80% of all applicants are within a college’s range. So, saying someone has a good chance, or even a high or low chance, is like randomly throwing darts at a board: some will land with accuracy, but not the majority of them.</p>

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<p>@gibby Yes, that’s what I mean. Although I don’t believe percentiles of test scores are a good indicator at all, since it varies between different groups of people (URMs, ORMs, etc).</p>

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<p>The chance threads that make me laugh out loud are “please chance me! I’ll chance you back!” If you think you’re qualified to chance someone, then chance your own darn self!</p>