got deferred. chances?

Colleges and Universities A-Z University of Michigan
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<p>I got deferred and i got the first letter. Applied to LSA.
GPA : UW- 3.90 Weighted 4.32 or 4.28 depending if i get an A or B in an AP class
Class size: 260 In top 8%
High School: Consistently top 3 public school in PA, top 1.5% in nation
ACT:28 (my weak point)
AP: 5 ap's and at least 8 honor classes through my 4 years. (4 on AP US and 4 on AP BIO)
College Essays: Good, reviewed by multiple teachers
Extracurricular activities: Ultimate Frisbee(JV captain and mvp last year, 4 years total), CYO basketball (JV captain, 4 years), Varsity Cross Country (3 years)(Varsity Captain), Indoor soccer(3 years), NHS, Latin Club,mission trips, had a part time job, assistant student coach for junior football (2 years), over 200 hours of community service. Football (9th grade), Ultimate Frisbee summer league (3 years), marching band/concert band( 4 years, first chair) and 5 Varsity Letters.
Rec letters: Great Rec letter from coach/ap bio teacher and guidance councelor, sending in another b/c deferred.
Visited the college in August.</p>

<p>Catch: I heard from another post on here that Umich deferred many people b/c they didn't have enough time to fully review their application. I turned in my application and everything else on NOV 1, the deadline. Do you think this may have led to my deferral?</p>

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<p>after reading many other sites, posters and publications seem to think that about 10% of those deferred ultimately gain acceptance. I’m hopeful the percentage could be a bit higher at UM, but so far nobody at the University or any moderator has offered any clarification. Let’s just say it’s probably a pretty slim chance, but if you are waiting until April anyway, you have nothing to lose. Some applicants are indeed choosing to fill out a few more applications for RD, including another “safety”, as Admissions decisions have been highly variable and unpredictable this year (i.e.,other than a local CC you almost have to stop using the classification safety). It has to come through in your essays that the college you are applying to is your likely first choice no matter how strong one’s application may be.</p>