<p>D is in honors and a Carolina scholar, it is incredibly competitive, highly selective and really requires a good bit of luck on top of everything else to get invited to freshman honors. D loves the program and all the super kids she's met through it. Our public school system is one of the largest in N.C. Last year, D was only one from our entire school system to get honors at UNC.
All honors graduated at top or very near of their H.S. class(if ranked) They are N.M. awarded, most finalists. All honors students that D has told me about are highly gifted individuals, and have very unique interests, passions, and talents and most have successfully competed at state, regional and many at national level in some academic type competition. (Most also applied and accepted to some Ivy's, Duke, UVA etc. and chose Carolina because it was the right fit for them.) --There are also plenty of these type kids at Carolina who aren't invited into honors and have recieved no scholarship money.
I want to caution you on your thinking that "UNC is my lower-level match right now"; or Carolina is my"high safety". Carolina is no one's "safety" and there are thousands of "matches" every year that don't get into Carolina, even IS. Just read back through the threads. There have been some very disappointed, and shocked kids, yes even IS. #4 in D's H.S. class was one of them; was defered EA at Carolina, and then rejected RD. Another example, a friend's co-worker's son in Raleigh was #1 in H.S. class and was rejected at UNC.
I also know of a very sad, embarrassed H.S. senior right now, who thought too much of their stats. #1 in class of 360, N.M. finalist, Gov. school; AP scholar of Dist. 5's on all AP exams so far; will have 12 AP's total by end of this year; good leadership, sports etc. etc. Only applied to Ivy's, and UVA. Ivy's were "matches", UVA was "safety". Guidance office tried to warn them, told them to do research; have a real "safety". So this kid quickly did a little research, went on all the websites and saw where they were at least (if not higher) in middle 50% of accepted students. What they didn't realize is just how many other students were at that same level, too. There are approx. 15,000 N.M. finalists each year. That number alone exceeds the freshmen classes of the majority of the most highly selective colleges, combined! (FYI-approx. 35,000 kids a year are named "N.M. Commended" )
Guess what happened to the kid? Yes, all rejections from the Ivy's, and waitlisted at UVA. They are scrambling right now, and may be at community college in the fall.
I looked at your stats. and they look good, but there are thousands of kids out there that you will be competing against with stats just as good or better. Also, you should know that your minority status may not help you, and may very possibly hurt your chances at UNC and other highly selective schools. There has been much discussion and studies done on this very topic. Asians, Asian Indians, often have to have higher stats than whites and much higher than other minorities just to get into highly selective colleges. There are simply too many Asians who have high stats. Colleges are looking for diversity, but balanced diversity. % wise, they will only take so many Asians. I'm not writing this to be cruel; many of D's closest friends are Asian, and some have experienced this.
I just want you see things as they really are, so that you won't be like the kid above. With today's extremely competitive, highly selective college admissions, believe me, Carolina is no one's "safety" or "lower-level match" and neither are any of the top 30+ ranked universities in this country. (the article I read actually stated top 40 universities)
You do stand a good chance of be successful in gaining admission to at least one of your choices, but just know there are NO guarantees. Find a REAL safety, to have as a back-up plan.</p>