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<p>This is urban legend, propagated by Northeasterners to explain why it’s so difficult for them to get into the most selective Northeastern colleges and universities. It has no basis in fact. Most schools don’t give us admissions breakdowns by state, but Princeton helpfully tells us now many members of its entering class come from each state. In the Princeton Class of 2014, admitted in 2010, there’s exactly 1 Nebraskan; nobody from neighboring Kansas; 1 from neighboring South Dakota; nobody from North Dakota. We don’t know how many applied from these states, but we can get a very rough upper bound on that figure by looking at how many 2010 college-bound seniors sent SAT score reports to Princeton. Anyone who applied would need to send an SAT score report, because Princeton requires SAT Subject Tests (SAT IIs) from all applicants, together with either the SAT I or the ACT. (Of course, it may be that not everyone who sends a score actually completes an application, but the fall-off rate should be approximately the same for all states).</p>
<p>In 2010, 54 Nebraskans sent SAT score reports to Princeton; 1 enrolled in the entering class. That a 1.85% rate of enrollments to score reports sent. That same year, 98 Kansans sent SAT score reports to Princeton; none enrolled in the entering class. South Dakotans did a little better: 22 sent SAT score reports, 1 enrolled. North Dakota was also shut out: 15 sent score reports, zero enrolled. For the four-state Great Plains region, the total is 189 students sending SAT score reports, 2 students enrolled in Princeton’s entering class, a 1.06% rate of enrollments to score reports.</p>
<p>In contrast, 3,245 college-bound seniors from New Jersey sent SAT score reports to Princeton, and 178 New Jerseyans enrolled in Princeton’s entering class, a 5.5% rate of enrollments to SAT score reports, or 5 times the rate from the Great Plains states. </p>
<p>Now there could be all kinds of reasons for this. Maybe a higher percentage of score-senders from the Great Plains never completed their applications, though there’s no obvious reason why this should be the case. Maybe more Great Plains applicants were admitted to Princeton but a higher percentage of them decided to go elsewhere. Maybe (as the New Jerseyans will no doubt claim) the New Jerseyans were better qualified; though Nebraskans who took SAT Subject Tests (presumably because they planned to apply to elite schools like Princeton that require them) did better than New Jerseyans who took SAT Subject Tests (presumably for the same reason); the Nebraskans scored higher, on average, on both the Subject Tests themselves and on the SAT Reasoning Test (SAT I). </p>
<p>I do think it’s likely that Princeton’s yield would be higher for New Jerseyans who can attend a super-elite college and still stay close to home. But 5 times higher? Besides, the data for other Northeastern states are pretty similar to New Jersey’s.</p>
<p>I’m not saying coming from Nebraska will make it harder to get into Princeton and similar elite Northeastern schools. But there’s not a shred of evidence that it makes it easier, and constant repetition of the urban legend doesn’t make it so.</p>