<p>The entire college admissions process is a crap-shoot. There's no possible way you can determine your "chances" of getting in somewhere, because the people deciding on your app are human- they are vulnerable to stupid biases that might spring up from what they are doing as they read your app, and have nothing to do with you. Maybe they just spilled their coffee on your application and burned their leg- now they're in a bad mood, and your chances of getting just dropped. Or conversely, maybe they just got a call from their mother who just recovered from surgery- now they are feeling good, and might give you a better chance. In either of these situations what is on your app has nothing to do with your chances.</p>
<p>Or depending on how lucky you are, maybe something written on your app sparks some sort of anger (or conversely joy) in the reader? Maybe your essay topic hits too close to home for the reviewer, and they are genuinely offended. I know they are trained not to let something like that influence their decision, but subconsciously you know it will.</p>
<p>So in the end, it's pointless to fret about things like exact numbers on all your scores, or your number of extracurriculars. The people reading your apps are not divus' or anything, they're just people, as susceptible to bias and emotion as you or me. Don't take it too harshly if you don't get in to some schools, because again, it's not a reflection of your character or abilities. You just got unlucky in your dice throw.</p>
<p>And to be completely honest, you're going to be perfectly happy wherever you end up. If you're looking at the 50 or so schools that are small, liberal arts colleges like Wesleyan, no matter which you get into, you're going to have a great experience, because they are all pretty much the same. And even if you end up having to go to some state school, or <em>gasp</em> your community college for a couple years, you'll be fine if you convince yourself that you'll have a good time. Keep a positive attitude; trust me, it pays off. There's so much life after college to look forward too as well.</p>