Ivies, etc.! Chances please

<p>GPA: 3.8 UW (going to a very competitive HS, one of top 30 for admissions in top 10 most selective universities according to the Wall Street Journal)
4.3 Weighted
Grades:
9th
World History A/A
Conceptual Physics A/A
Honors Geometry A+/A+
English 9 B+/A-
Spanish III B+/B+
Jazz Band A/A
AP Computer Science A A-/A-
10th
AP US History A-/B+
Honors Chemistry A-/A
Honors Precalculus A-/A
English 10 A-/B+
Spanish IV A-/A-
Advanced Jazz Band A/A
AP Computer Science AB A/A
11th
Honors Western Civilization B+/A-
AP Physics A/A
AP Calculus BC A/A
Honors English 11 A/A-
AP Spanish Language B+/A-
Advanced Jazz Band A/A
AP European History (2nd sem.) Pass
12th
AP Art History
Shakespeare
Multivariable Calculus
AP Statistics
Orchestra
Marching Band
2D Art</p>

<p>SAT Is (only took once)
Math 790
Verbal 770
Writing 770</p>

<p>SAT IIs (all first sittings--does this matter at all?)
Math IIC 800
Physics 800
Chemistry 790
US History 730</p>

<p>APs
AP Computer Science A 5
AP Computer Science AB 5
AP US History 5
AP European History 5
AP Spanish Language 5
AP Physics C Mech. 5
AP Calculus BC 5</p>

<p>ECs
Science Club--Founder, Leader 11-12
Piano (levels I-IX, age 4-17)
Saxophone (Jazz Band, Orchestra, Marching Band) 9-12
Varsity Tennis 9-12
Assisted in Science Summer Camp, 20 hrs per week for 3 months
Volunteered for local school district, et up computers and classrooms, performed sax for class 9-12</p>

<p>Awards
Invited to State Convention for Piano 8 times, county honors recital 5 times
American Invitational Math Exam invitee
AP Scholar with Distinction
National Merit Scholarship Semifinalist</p>

<p>UPenn (ED), Jerome Fisher
Cornell (legacy)
Brown (legacy if sibling counts)
Princeton
UCB
UCSD
UCLA
WUSTL
Northwestern
Harvey Mudd
Swarthmore</p>

<p>Also, how does my list seem? Too hard?</p>

<p>In at Penn, so don't worry about the rest.</p>

<p>i agree with that assessment</p>

<p>Jerome Fisher is not the typical Penn - admissions to this highly selective program is tantamount to the selectivity at HYP. I'd say you have a 50% shot at Jerome Fisher, and a good shot with the rest of the schools enumerated in your list. Good luck!</p>

<p>If I don't get into Jerome Fisher , I'm still in the pool for UPenn SEAS ED. Anyone want to give me percentages please?</p>

<p>wow, this forum is so active..</p>

<p>bump</p>

<p>you're a lock for all three UC's, and probably harvey mudd too</p>

<p>gmman:</p>

<p>Assuming you are a California resident,
UCB/UCLA: Match
UCSD: Safety</p>

<p>By the way, what do match and safety equal in terms of percentages?</p>

<p>I wish I had your stats. </p>

<p>UPenn (ED), Jerome Fisher - hope you get in, but they are tough!! Even more than HYP and MIT, Stanford maybe. My senior got accepted (he took like 12APs(all 5), perfect SAT, lab stuff, wrote his own thesis etc) and he was Korean, so he thought MIT was a better choice. Then, UPenn(Jerome Fisher) called him and said why didn't you come to our school, we only admitted 43(i think) students around the world, and YOU were the only one who didn't come. He regretted and regretted I guess, he didn't know how great the programm was. Koreans are kinda stupid about Name values and stuff, they're like GO TO HARVARD, GO TO HARVARD, and UPenn is less known and all that. Just wanted to tell you you're applying to this Super Tough thing, and your stats and all that are GREAT, so I hope you make it, and PLEASE do go there. I feel so sorry for my senior(He's in MIT now, freshmen).</p>

<p>Cornell (legacy) - definitely in, with your stats. But it's an ivy, crapshot.
Brown (legacy if sibling counts) - probably in.
Princeton - I want to say it's a match for you, but then it's an ivy.
UCB - safety?
UCSD - definitely safety.
UCLA - safety?
WUSTL - match
Northwestern - match
Harvey Mudd - match
Swarthmore - match</p>

<p>I want to add Grinnell in your match/safety list. It's a good school, I liked the
admissions officer when he visitied our school. Seriously, "Swarthmore,HarveyMudd, and Grinnell" came together and others
were so boring.</p>

<p>Wow, only one person turned down Jerome Fisher? My friend's sister got in a couple years ago, but also chose MIT over JF. I didn't realize it was that rare.. anyway, I'm definitely expecting to get rejected from Jerome Fisher, just because I don't think that I could be in the top 40-50 students that apply, and the fact that I'm not allowing the program to defer me (I chose to apply ED SEAS should I be rejected) I believe makes my chances a little worse. But hey, since UPenn is my top choice I figured there's no harm in trying. </p>

<p>Thanks a lot for the encouragement :D</p>

<p>gmman,
I'm 90% sure this is what will happen: deferred by M&T, taken by SEAS ED</p>

<p>hi gmman! here are your chances!</p>

<p>UPenn (ED), Jerome Fisher - 1.34896734%
Cornell (legacy) - 70.2387562345%
Brown (legacy if sibling counts) - 60.9058765890%
Princeton - 30.348957%
UCB - 70.39487634%
UCSD - 100.348954%
UCLA - 96.348975634965%
WUSTL - 52.348939%
Northwestern - 69.7845782%
Harvey Mudd - 69.43565634%
Swarthmore - 57.3897634%</p>

<p>gmman, according to my exact calculations from years of careful analysis and study, these are your chances at these colleges. Yes, ur chances at UCSD really are greater than 100%. Good luck, and may the force be with u.</p>

<p>Wow, those are quite exact. Could you share the formula you used to get those percentages? I am quite curious.</p>

<p>Also, is it possible for M&T to defer me and SEAS to accept me? Wouldn't M&T have to straight reject me?</p>

<p>no no no if m&t doesnt want you ED, seas will take you -</p>

<p>Right, you said "deferred" and I was confused--so M&T would have to reject me for SEAS to take me, correct?</p>

<p>it seems like my thread drops off the first page every hour and half lol</p>

<p>honestly man, jerome fisher is a 50/50 chance for you. You are obviously very qualified academically but you lack business ec's, so jerome fisher might be a little difficult even for you to get into. However, I personally believe that you will get in just because you have such good grades and test scores, your other ec's are good too. best of luck homey (hopefully ill see you around when im at penn too)</p>

<p>Yeah, I had a bit of trouble writing my Jerome Fisher essay because I didn't have much in the way of solid business anecdotes to tell. I'm hoping that they'll assume that I'm very interested in business just because I'm applying to the program :/</p>

<p>Hope to see you there too!</p>