I’ll admit that I don’t have the math/statistical/regression analysis firepower that some of you have. But, looking at past score data, if a student scored in the lowest 99th percentile in each subject, his score would be high enough to qualify in TX. Based on student’s reporting their scores, the 99th percentile score of R=36; W=35; and M=37; 108 * 2=216 would not be high enough to clear the testmaster’s hurdle of 217. I know the tests are different, but I just find it hard to believe that if a student scores 99th percentile in each subject that they wouldn’t be ok in states like TX (not DC, CA, etc.).
I’m trying to stay optimistic as well as decide if my son should sit for the SAT. He and his twin sister made 35s on the ACT, so we weren’t going to take that test as well (unless we needed to qualify for NM). His sister’s SI is 221. His SI is 215. I keep hoping that 2014 is not a good benchmark anyway because the score for TX at 220 was the highest its ever been. Thanks for listening.
@micgeaux
Testmasters mentioned that their estimates are conservative, and has been mentioned, the preliminary tables are not representative of the entirety of the US (scores SHOULD be much higher on the sample tested for the preliminary tables).
Sorry folks, cutoffs aren’t out until early September. Even then, they never announce them, but a popular site like this one can usually narrow it down fairly quickly.
@PAMom21
We still will not know for a while. It’s no use speculating until we have a table that is REAL. As of now, as has been mentioned countless times, if you have a SI of 220+, consider yourself safe in every state. Of course, this doesn’t take a genius to figure out, considering an SI of 220 is around 226+, which is higher than every cutoff last year.
Until May, the PRELIM concordance table from the CB is the only info we’ve got at this point that is based on anything but arm-waving. And when making reference to the CB’s concordance table in all my posts I have written the word PRELIM in caps.
I’ve already stated that the table is comparing apples & oranges (i.e. numbers that are computed in different ways).
@micgeaux I agree, I think the testmasters prediction for Texas is a point or two high mostly because last years 220 was the highest ever and Texas usually has a drop after a big increase.
@trig2017
Even if the test was easier, the very highest it can be is 228. I have seen very, very few scores above 224…as has been said, if you scored 220+, CONSIDER YOURSELF SAFE!
I believe the SI cutoff for NMSF will be A LOT higher than expected. A simple reason - The PSAT questions are not as hard as CB has originally shown us. There are many tied scores north of the SI 220. As a result, the top 1% is going to be over 220 for most states. CB has been losing out to ACT. Therefore, CB has been trying to lure test-takers back by making them believe SAT fits them better. There are just too many clusters of high tied scores.
In my high school which produces every year 30+ NMSFs per year, I have seen only several near perfect SI scores plus one perfect score so far, so I am hopeful that CA cutoff will not be more than 221. I also noticed some kids who did super well in SAT and former PSAT did not do as well under the new PSAT. Just hoping though. Lol
For traditionally high cutoff score states, I wouldn’t be surprised to see an SI north of 220. That said, it’s just my educated guess. I have seen one top performing high school near me where many students score at or above 1500. Too many score over 1450. All of them have an SI at or over 220.
