@thumper1 and @mom60, thanks for tagging me in this thread.
OP, I didn’t read through everything, but I know you’re not alone in your jitters. Hugs to you as you wait! I also can relate to those feelings of “losing” your relationship with your son. I was (and still am) super close to my oldest son, and when he went 3000 miles away to MIT for college, it was very hard. Wow, did I miss him! Still do, but now that he’s graduated, got married, and is living a lot closer, it’s not so bad. Fortunately, there are many ways to stay in touch these days!
I have homeschooled for 17 years privately in California, and I now work as a private college consultant (in addition to continue to homeschool my youngest), and I can assure you that, for your list of schools, being low-income will not be a hindrance to acceptances. I believe all the schools that your son applied to are need-blind, so they do not consider income when making admissions decisions. We are a high need family (Pell Grant once in the last four years), and it did not hinder either of my older children from getting into highly selective colleges, so please don’t be anxious about that.
As far as whether being homeschooled will keep him out of colleges: no, homeschooling in and of itself does not keep kids out of colleges these days. Many homeschoolers are accepted to top colleges. 3-4 on your son’s list are well known to take homeschoolers. And a gap year doesn’t necessarily have a negative effect on admissions if a student is doing something productive.
So, if you were asking if any of these things in themselves would keep your son out of his colleges, the answer is no. What would keep him from getting accepted would be the holistic combination of everything: test scores, grades, letters of recommendation, activities, achievements, and using the gap year very productively and beefing up his application (new letters of recommendation, new accomplishments, etc).
Understand that he’s competing against the best of the best in the nation since he only applied to top schools. He sounds like a great young man, and I love that he’s very unconcerned. That speaks volumes about him. And of course you need to stay on top of the admin side of apps, so you sound right on track to me.
My oldest was unusual in that he was accepted to all 9 colleges he applied to. He had two safeties on his list, UT Dallas (still accepting applications, btw, and still offering scholarships) and U Pittsburgh.
My middle son had a very similar profile to your son in terms of SAT and GPA. His music was his biggest strength (he had a lot of weaknesses), and he submitted cello recordings to most schools. He applied to schools as selective as Stanford (didn’t get in) and as non-selective as University of Colorado, Colorado Springs (accepts 90% of applicants). He did much better than I thought, and was accepted to 16 schools including one Ivy and a couple of UC schools, waitlisted at 3, and rejected at 4 (all highly selective).
Had I known you before, I would have encouraged your son to have a different list of schools-still include some reaches, but branch out a little. College admissions is pretty crazy these days. But, ha-ha, you didn’t ask about other colleges, so I won’t go there.
I do understand about feeling that no college is good enough for him. I didn’t think that necessarily, but it was hard to see my oldest at some colleges. Oddly enough, MIT wasn’t on his list until fall of senior year, and it turned out to be the exact right choice for him. He and I both agree we couldn’t have imagined him anywhere else…and yet, he would have made due wherever he went. Your son sounds like that kind of “go with the flow” guy. He will do great wherever he ends up.