Predict Me! Stanford, UMich, Harvard, MIT, and company

<p>A la StudiousMaximus, here's a different type of chance thread: a predict thread.</p>

<p>"Here are the rules:
1) For each school I list, you must choose "Accepted," "Waitlisted," or "Rejected." Do not choose "Deferred" for early schools; predict what you think the final result will be.
2) Once I receive all of my results, I'll post them here. You will receive 1 point for a correct response and 0 points for an incorrect response. Whoever gets the most points wins.
3) Only initial results matter. If I'm waitlisted and later accepted at a school, the outcome is still "Waitlisted."
4) Feel free to be as harsh or as generous as you'd like. If you think your best shot at winning involves predicting that I'll be rejected from every school, go right ahead!</p>

<p>My hope is that this type of thread will lead to a lot more honest, specific predictions (instead of just "I think you have a great shot all around! Chance back!") and will be more useful to future applicants (since these threads will naturally contain results as well)."</p>

<p>Objective:
SAT I (breakdown): 2390 C / 800 M / 800 CR / 790 W (10 essay)</p>

<p>ACT (highest composite w/breakdown): 36 C x2
(February 2013: 36 E / 36 M / 34 R / 36 S (9 essay); March 2014: 35 E / 36 M / 36 R / 35 S (9 essay))</p>

<p>SAT II: 800 Math II, 800 Chemistry, 800 Physics, 740 Bio M</p>

<p>Unweighted GPA (out of 4.0): 4.0
Weighted GPA: 4.3
Rank (percentile if rank is unavailable): ~1/200ish
AP (place score in parentheses): USH, Calc BC, Chemistry, Bio, Physics C: Mech, Comp Sci, English Language (All 5s)</p>

<p>Senior Year Course Load:
Orchestra
AP Stats
AP Spanish
AP Macro/Micro
AP Lit
Dual Enrollment (Calc 3 / Diffy Qs)
Major Awards (USAMO, Intel etc.): USNChO 1st in Region, National Semifinalist, MMPC Finalist, HSHSP Scholar, NMSF, AP Scholar with Distinction</p>

<p>Subjective:</p>

<p>Extracurriculars (place leadership in parentheses):</p>

<p>Research at MSU HSHSP for 7 weeks (Highly selective summer program)
NHS (11, 12, Class elected Junior Representative and now President)
President of Project CHUCK (Drug awareness for elementary / middle schoolers)
Student Government (9 - 12 , Executive Board, COO)
Math Club (9 - 12, President, introduced school to AMC series, local competitions, nothing too intense)
Concertmaster of High School Orchestra (9-12, couple of solo performances)
First Violinist in Local Youth Symphony (8-12)
All State High School Orchestra (9-11, hopefully 12)
Regional / State Solo and Ensemble Division 1 (9-11, hopefully 12)
Tennis Team (JV 9, 10; Varsity 11, 12)
HOBY Leadership Conference School Ambassador</p>

<p>Job/Work Experience: Kumon / private tutor, Paid soloist at formal events
Volunteer/Community service: Volunteer at Nursing Home (playing violin for dementia patients, ~5 hrs a week), Volunteer tutor, Organize events and fundraisers with Student Government</p>

<p>Other:
Intended Major: Chem E, CS, or Philosophy
School Type: Smaller Public
Ethnicity: Asian (Indian)
Gender: M
Income Bracket: ~180k
State: MI
Hooks (URM, first generation college, etc.): None :(</p>

<p>Schools you plan on applying to:
Stanford (REA), Michigan (EA), MSU, Harvard, MIT, Princeton, Duke, Carnegie Mellon (CS)</p>

<p>Omg you are amazing… I think you are going to go great places. You are the definition of a perfect student.</p>

<p>Stanford: Waitlisted/Accepted or Denied
UMich: Accepted for sure
Harvard: Denied
MIT: Accepted
What the heck is company that’s not a college!</p>

<p>@tryhardalay Lol, I meant like as in the other colleges I listed. I guess its a common expression where I live. thanks!</p>

<p>I think you’ve got just a good a chance as anybody :slight_smile: </p>

<p>Bumpity bump. Try not to say things like the above, instead give a predicted result, if you wouldn’t mind. Thanks for your input!</p>

<ol>
<li>Stanford- accepted</li>
</ol>

<p>and then you won’t bother with the rest. Ok, you’ll apply to Harvard and get waitlisted, then realize Stanford is the best anyway, so you’ll not keep the WL spot.</p>

<p>Best of luck. You come through as a real likable, creative and industrious person! </p>

<p>Omg you are amazing… I think you are going to go great places. You are the definition of a perfect student.</p>

<p>Thanks for your optimistic assessments, guys, you’re all too kind! How about the other schools listed? </p>

<p>Also, if it helps, I’m also going to get a letter of recommendation from the professor I did research with over the summer. My teacher recs should hopefully be pretty decent as well <em>fingers crossed</em>. Let’s hear some more opinions! </p>

<p>Ok, fine.
Stanford REA - accepted
U Mich -accepted
MSU- accepted
Harvard-WL (accepted if applied EA)
MIT- accepted
Princeton- accepted
Duke- accepted
Carnegie Mellon- accepted</p>

<p>Thanks @Renomamma‌ ! I would definitely not be too disappointed if your predictions came true haha! </p>

<p>Stanford (REA) - Deferred
Michigan (EA) - Accepted
MSU - Accepted
Harvard - Rejected
MIT - Waitlisted
Princeton - Accepted
Duke - Accepted
Carnegie Mellon (CS) - Accepted
i think i have a pretty pessimistic outlook, though, haha. don’t worry, you’ve got it all down. </p>

<p>Harvard: Accepted</p>

<p>I have a 70% success rate at predicting Harvard admissions (seriously, I keep a spreadsheet with my predictions and the final results for Harvard), so it’s far from a sure thing, but you’re likely to get in. Your academics are about as good as you can get without winning the Intel STS or being a medalist in an International Olympiad or something, so no problems with academics as long as your fall sr. year grades are very good. It’s going to come down to ECs for you. The thing I think Harvard cares about the most with ECs is LEADERSHIP, especially president/captain of non-academic clubs/teams (debate doesn’t count as “academic” here, they love debaters. NHS and Beta Club also don’t really count as “academic clubs” here. I’m talking about math club, science club, French club, Quiz Bowl team, etc.). They want to see leadership, that you’re a people-person, outgoing. They like athletes too, especially team captains. The things that jump out at me first are president of NHS and president of Project CHUCK. Getting another non-academic president/captain position would really help, I think. Doesn’t have to be in school, it can be a community type of organization that you are the clear leader of. In an essay, you might really play up the <em>leadership</em> you’ve shown in an EC or ECs and go into great detail about your leadership role (a clear leader role, not just an officer or helper). </p>

<p>The music stuff is nice but honestly won’t help you much, especially as an Asian. Same for math club president. Same for the science research stuff (unless you can win a major national award like Intel STS Finalist or if you’ve been published in a peer-reviewed science journal). </p>

<p>They love to see that you’ve overcome adversity in life, so play up any adversity you’ve overcome. Divorced parents? Disability? A past serious illness? Maybe write an essay on this. Or write an essay on a unique life experience (preferably not travel, especially as an upper middle class kid). </p>

<p>If you could get another president/captain position of a non-academic club/team, I think that would boost your chances far above 70%, closer to 90-95%. </p>

<p>Stanford (REA) - Accept
Michigan (EA) - Accept
MSU - Accept
Harvard - Waitlist
MIT - Accept
Princeton - Reject
Duke - Accept
Carnegie Mellon (CS) - Accept</p>

<p>I honesty think you’ll be accepted at every school. And if not, you’ve done literally everything in your power and literally everything physically and humanely possible to achieve. You can find solace in that regardless of your admission success (though I think you won’t have any problems :wink: )</p>

<p>Stanford (REA) - Accepted
Michigan (EA) - Accepted
MSU - Accepted
Harvard - Rejected
MIT - Rejected
Princeton - Rejected
Duke - Accepted
Carnegie Mellon (CS) - Accepted</p>

<p>Stanford - not sure because it’s so unpredictable maybe a rejection? you never know though
UMich - accepted
Harvard - accepted (it’s less unpredictable than stanford)
MIT - rejected
Princeton - rejected
Duke - accepted
CMU - accepted (which i’m so jealous of because i want to go there!! haha)
I may be completely wrong and you may get into all of these schools, but I’m just trying to be on the safer side of things.
Good luck! :slight_smile:
Chance me? <a href=“http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/what-my-chances/1678006-chances-at-cmu-scs-ill-chance-back.html#latest”>http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/what-my-chances/1678006-chances-at-cmu-scs-ill-chance-back.html#latest&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

<p>Wow @cloudeleven , thank you so much for your detailed feedback! You seem to know a lot about what you’re doing, and I appreciate the time you spent writing that post. I will be sure to take it into consideration before I hit that final submit button!</p>

<p>Thanks to everyone else for the detailed predictions! Feel free to be as pessimistic as you can, it’ll probably make it more accurate. Thanks!</p>

<p>@jonthom99 Apply EA to Harvard if you want to maximize your chances, but even in RD I think it’s likely you’ll be accepted.</p>