Have you run the NPC’s together to see whether any of them are unaffordable?
Have you set a budget, a range of prices within which she’ll be able to choose but above which the college has to be off the table? Will you need merit?
Duke and Penn seem outliers. What does she like about them?
LACs in the Northeast are VERY competitive for girls with no hooks. For high-stats girls they could all admit her as well as they could all reject her. They’re all crapshoots except for Deniso. She’s eminently qualified yet they’re likely to get lots of applicants like her whom they don’t take in order to create a balance within a small class. Hence, crasphoot :s. The fact you’re applying from Wisconsin will help her compared to a girl from NYS/NJ/MA/PA.
Expressing interest is essential at all colleges (request info form + follow up questions to admissions, visit wherever you can with on campus interview, alumni interview when you can’t if it’s offered.)
A good result should happen but she should diversity her list with non-northeastern colleges and add Mount Holyoke at least to have less pressure.
UMN-Morris would be LAC-like and likely very cheap for you due to reciprocity agreements.
She could look into Ohio University Honors Program for an early reply.
https://www.ohio.edu/honors/
UWisconsin has Chadbourne, if push comes to shove.
If money is no concern, what about William&Mary? Not a safety but the field wouldn’t be quite so crowed with applicants with a similar profile as northeastern LACs.
For safeties, she should target LACs with acceptance rates of 40-50% and express interest before the end of the year.
Check out Colleges that change Lives (the book and/or the website).
Have her request info for all of these and pick 3-5 she likes - you absolutely want her to have a choice beside UWisconsin. Also, a lot of these have EA so you’d get a response in December- January.
Elon, St Olaf, Drake, Wooster, Earlham, Illinois Wesleyan, Dickinson, Muhlenberg,Centre,Hendrix, Agnes Scott, Trinity TX, Rhodes, Willamette, Whitman, Lewis&Clark.
Less unpredictable: TCNJ, St Mary’s Maryland, Geneseo.
Also unpredictable: Connecticut College, Trinity College,St Lawrence.